TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes30c887.28$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.1948961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x73e3…3239backed No70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No54c378$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7735958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Yes41c358.32$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.325064%32 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes36c305.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9920447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No60c218.61$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7421063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed No70c183.68$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.474226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes45c170.2$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9155044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No54c92.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9521944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No63c88.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.312,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3312951.2%66 W · 63 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb67…e62abacked No56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked No53c58.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3116854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes46c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0811038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes46c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0813148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed No53c50.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.029743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed Yes46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa724…cb96backed No53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900e…a4d3backed Yes44c45.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.758345.8%38 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cde…dec9backed No68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes45c39.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9922550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c37.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes47c33.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6418453.8%99 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No55c31.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3141231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked No63c29.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.376358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed No54c27.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.993948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No56c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7661752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x394d…cc94backed No63c20.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+82.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.210454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c14…8da1backed No71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5f62backed No62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4460…54d1backed No63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d7…9fbabacked No71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21850%9 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6eb…21b9backed No61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc09b…38e2backed No55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.211748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed No55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No63c19.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0117652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No64c16.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5915859.5%94 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.