TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5039…946dbacked No78c2,405$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.551050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0046…568cbacked Yes22c1,800$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3881030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No77c1,247$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8713044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf568…efabbacked Yes21c945.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-80.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Yes23c839.94$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.199743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x881e…70f8backed Yes24c595.83$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes22c486.36$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10741231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No63c401.72$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1748961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc0b2…a23dbacked Yes24c366.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes23c351.55$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes22c350$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7716336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No76c333$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9221836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x73e3…3239backed No76c328.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.81872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7214323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4de5…e874backed Yes23c238.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No69c215$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6535954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes25c205.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4623357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x456a…903fbacked Yes18c170.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b85…8363backed Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes23c130$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.913251.5%68 W · 64 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No76c130$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.821063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No77c123.13$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8217652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04a…6bf2backed Yes25c122.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a08…c2e6backed No76c115.11$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.633250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No76c112.83$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…239ebacked Yes16c106.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fff…be78backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13f5…7049backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes24c99.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9925352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No78c93.61$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7766239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed No80c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.214738.1%56 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc8…adf7backed Yes22c78.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.261942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes22c73.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Yes22c67.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x998b…db96backed Yes19c67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7224.5%1 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick23cpaid-89.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No76c52.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5155044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.56870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc91e…07ddbacked Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed No77c43.62$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.033158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed No77c43.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6da…3699backed No77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed No77c31.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.23663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked No77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.95848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7519818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked No76c23.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.666358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8361752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No77c20.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7418453.8%99 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed Yes53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fdf…336cbacked Yes53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed Yes53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x813f…26ecbacked Yes52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37d…b48cbacked Yes53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No77c15.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6211256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed No77c15.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5438329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.