TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0298…93c4backed No61c2,063$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.261181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+89.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes36c1,813$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No71c1,252$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.8513044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33012534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No67c964.24$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.6417945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No56c685.87$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.8223357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73e3…3239backed No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes9c436.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3420031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes26c420$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.224037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Yes27c378.75$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.353132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes40c248.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.541231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No65c239.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked No46c232.92$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3724954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc0b2…a23dbacked Yes39c223$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.971553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8055044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bc8…adf7backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7635958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7817632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Yes52c191.65$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995064%32 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0dc…74f9backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed Yes37c128.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.683663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Yes39c112.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.886870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No65c107.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3514323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes33c103.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.185459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Yes34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265650%28 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+68.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011439.5%45 W · 69 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes47c97.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.42,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes39c93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2711038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe373…3736backed Yes34c91.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes34c89.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2318453.8%99 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05d…5e4bbacked Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No67c69.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No72c68.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2516336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4db5…ca02backed Yes38c66.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.352055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes48c60.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1148636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Yes38c57.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.911746.2%54 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x302e…88ccbacked No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed Yes56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.521063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.216847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x018a…9522backed Yes55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.83951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc09b…38e2backed Yes40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No67c33.63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Yes34c32.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1112428.2%35 W · 89 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1557…0129backed No67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.854100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No60c25.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1430241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7513148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed No73c24.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.742944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfec4…cfc8backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.23221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.24447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cec…ff6ebacked Yes56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.