TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x302e…88cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
307
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT9124.2%22 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.89
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+834.6%+$336.66
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.67
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.34
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+274%+$354.75
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.77
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.97
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.3
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.7
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.27
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.98
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.4
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$28.8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3528.6%10 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$26.55
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.34
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.72
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.69
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.65
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.06
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.79
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$48.19
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$104.55
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+346%+$118.95
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.86
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.43
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.68
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+214.8%+$55.95
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT3414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.76
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.43
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.47
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.64
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.92
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.64
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+306.5%+$74.54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.88
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.42
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.71
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+324.5%+$100.55
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.76
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.11
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.93
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+176%+$75.25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+359%+$146.4
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.23
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.95
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.42
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.92
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+278.6%+$403.98
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.85
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+267.9%+$318.94
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$340.16
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+145%+$29.59
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.2
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$299.81
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.69
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.67
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$230.42
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.02
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+525%+$93.24
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.2
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.61
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.4
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+266.9%+$56.75
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$64.8
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.69
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.49
Will any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.7
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
All 20 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-51.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.3
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.94
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Officebacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.22
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.63
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.6
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.57
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+151.9%+$43.72
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.14
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+160.5%+$108.26
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.56
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$31.95
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$373.12
Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.13
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+65.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+116.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-68.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$27.96
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+41%+$19.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freddie Freeman record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$71.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.