Fifa International · resolved market
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d44f292e83fe48588a77de42ae66e935d2b57cf36cf395dc1603caf6a51263b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 40c | 7,267$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.55 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed No | 48c | 4,694$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.17 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…52d5backed Yes | 55c | 4,500$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 61c | 4,307$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.3 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 45c | 4,285$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.08 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 52c | 3,992$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.78 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed No | 57c | 3,664$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 58c | 3,121$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.96 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 43c | 3,067$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.34 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 37c | 3,035$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 47c | 2,713$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.58 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 53c | 2,670$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.05 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked Yes | 52c | 1,600$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb200…8163backed Yes | 41c | 1,506$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.65 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 48c | 1,351$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.16 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…ee18backed Yes | 49c | 1,016$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.38 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…7173backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.14 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 966.03$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 47c | 934.09$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.31 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 48c | 919.33$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.33 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 44c | 913.72$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.58 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 45c | 911.27$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.34 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…03efbacked Yes | 58c | 865.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 45c | 841.67$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.84 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 60c | 812.02$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.31 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 48c | 574.88$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 47c | 551.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.15 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…4760backed Yes | 48c | 550$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 47c | 487.75$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.58 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 59c | 470.46$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.83 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 59c | 400.14$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.13 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…882dbacked Yes | 47c | 399.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 65c | 388.73$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…3c05backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 352$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.14 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…4e2abacked Yes | 57c | 351.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 337.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b15…0e85backed Yes | 52c | 326.02$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…305bbacked No | 63c | 325$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 142 | 42.3%60 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 63c | 318.2$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 48c | 309.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 41c | 302.47$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 52c | 285.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 47c | 262$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 50c | 259.82$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 53c | 250$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.1 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 46c | 237$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 53c | 236.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…6eafbacked Yes | 48c | 231.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 48c | 224.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 219.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 47c | 213.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked No | 56c | 210$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…b93abacked Yes | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 50c | 200.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x428f…5d1bbacked No | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x513a…4cf2backed Yes | 50c | 192.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 51c | 191.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…809bbacked Yes | 53c | 188.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 48c | 181.01$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 53c | 175$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a4…0b9ebacked Yes | 63c | 157.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 43c | 154$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…9ee4backed Yes | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked Yes | 48c | 150.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 35c | 144.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 42c | 138$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 59c | 136$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 51c | 135.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 44c | 135$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x915f…6c05backed Yes | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed Yes | 42c | 126.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -10.9wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 47c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 122.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 36c | 118.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 38c | 104$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…620bbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 50c | 100.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 251 | 60.6%152 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…f1dfbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c7…6dc4backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…6432backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…5e02backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ed…6d16backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes | 50c | 99.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 52c | 98.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1381…2388backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…7e5cbacked Yes | 52c | 95.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 61c | 95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?this page
- Will Belgium be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Germany be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.