TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeab5…f570

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4916.3%8 W · 41 L-10.9wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-74%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.28
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.96
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$856.2
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.35
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.53
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.57
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$5.66
Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$6.63
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$79.4
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+155.2%+$65.89
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$119.3
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.31
Will France win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.71
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.25
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.07
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.62
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.95
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.52
Will Australia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3716.2%6 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-70%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.2
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$13.84
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.81
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.68
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$4.09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.87
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.36
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+185.8%+$41.99
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$147.07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.61
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$6.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.48
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.37
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.58
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.77
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.98
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.41
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.81
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$5.13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$8.6
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$356.92
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.61
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$7.79
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+245.9%+$245.86
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$22.63
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.42
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.87
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.72
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.24
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+166.4%+$328.99
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.04
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-75.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.45
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$12.08
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.82
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.