Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae064ed7f3c9f4d201ce007b05b3a23f8e824170981c4d301f07301d554f451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,555,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,282,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,555,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 8c | 334,293$25,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,724.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…dde5backed Yes | 7c | 311,148$22,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,381.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…8020backed Yes | 9c | 155,967$13,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,550.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked Yes | 8c | 66,412$5,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,628.99 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 8c | 54,552$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.59 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…169dbacked Yes | 9c | 52,694$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…a5b0backed Yes | 5c | 47,339$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 8c | 33,705$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.13 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 9c | 32,938$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.05 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…87babacked Yes | 8c | 30,372$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 11c | 23,005$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.36 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 13c | 22,863$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.03 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…b6c5backed Yes | 9c | 18,155$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…8bd0backed Yes | 5c | 17,022$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…333dbacked Yes | 3c | 16,769$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…e931backed Yes | 7c | 16,310$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 3c | 16,144$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.04 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…a1a3backed Yes | 11c | 15,867$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 4c | 15,808$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.08 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 4c | 15,717$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.86 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 15c | 14,916$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…1867backed Yes | 7c | 12,900$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…6a21backed Yes | 3c | 12,702$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 5c | 12,435$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.27 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bf…99d3backed Yes | 15c | 11,738$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…6624backed Yes | 2c | 9,950$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…37fcbacked Yes | 7c | 9,286$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…920abacked Yes | 8c | 9,038$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…48e4backed Yes | 14c | 8,922$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.77 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked Yes | 8c | 8,913$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd662…48fcbacked Yes | 9c | 8,654$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 9c | 8,522$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.73 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 13c | 8,268$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.76 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…fdd5backed Yes | 13c | 8,200$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e40…3080backed Yes | 19c | 7,694$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 12c | 7,456$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2919…ddbfbacked Yes | 7c | 6,892$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 9c | 6,433$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.05 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 8c | 6,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae21…d7d9backed Yes | 3c | 5,610$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 1c | 5,412$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…0b8cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,242$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…2c9fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 5c | 4,809$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.45 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63c7…d693backed Yes | 14c | 4,717$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…0161backed Yes | 13c | 4,605$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…bd19backed Yes | 9c | 4,599$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.39 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,185$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,950$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.83 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…cbc9backed Yes | 8c | 3,879$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 2c | 3,723$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0b…7278backed Yes | 13c | 3,600$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e515backed Yes | 15c | 3,382$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…b69fbacked Yes | 12c | 3,308$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 12c | 3,205$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.05 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…9a34backed Yes | 14c | 3,199$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed Yes | 10c | 3,171$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.71 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…896fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,167$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 12c | 3,092$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.58 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fb…788fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,004$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 8c | 2,800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 5c | 2,680$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.46 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 9c | 2,674$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.81 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,620$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 7c | 2,605$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x455a…d8bcbacked Yes | 8c | 2,600$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 6c | 2,578$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 8c | 2,499$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.34 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…60c9backed Yes | 14c | 2,474$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed No | 79c | 2,300$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.46 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…2cd8backed Yes | 9c | 2,244$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,202$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked Yes | 4c | 2,200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…2b64backed Yes | 5c | 2,085$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 2c | 2,084$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…500cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,079$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.91 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 1c | 2,001$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…e8e8backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…06b7backed Yes | 2c | 1,916$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…69c5backed Yes | 17c | 1,856$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.77 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 12c | 1,847$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.03 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c3…3a41backed Yes | 11c | 1,814$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 1,764$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…5e67backed Yes | 16c | 1,667$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…9b3abacked Yes | 7c | 1,617$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb66…93ddbacked Yes | 3c | 1,600$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,592$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 12c | 1,567$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,553$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,522$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe138…6aa4backed Yes | 21c | 1,507$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.