TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,555,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,282,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,555,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes8c334,293$25,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,724.51315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf041…dde5backed Yes7c311,148$22,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,381.941338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-48.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fc…8020backed Yes9c155,967$13,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,550.940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0b…840abacked Yes8c66,412$5,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,628.99140%0 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7447…a16dbacked Yes8c54,552$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,409.596521.5%14 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33fa…169dbacked Yes9c52,694$4,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,565.9911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-66.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…a5b0backed Yes5c47,339$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-85.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafc0…5087backed Yes8c33,705$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.132722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1664…a0cebacked Yes9c32,938$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.051612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-80.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7473…87babacked Yes8c30,372$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes11c23,005$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.3632023.4%75 W · 245 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes13c22,863$2,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.033619.4%7 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc228…b6c5backed Yes9c18,155$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-77.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b0…8bd0backed Yes5c17,022$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…333dbacked Yes3c16,769$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.5750%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd837…e931backed Yes7c16,310$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes3c16,144$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.04330%0 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c78…a1a3backed Yes11c15,867$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes4c15,808$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.08948.5%8 W · 86 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes4c15,717$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.86707.1%5 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-77.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd221…a44bbacked Yes15c14,916$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.241118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x388e…1867backed Yes7c12,900$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9181513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-78.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a81…6a21backed Yes3c12,702$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes5c12,435$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.27580%0 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3bf…99d3backed Yes15c11,738$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.8250%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7144…6624backed Yes2c9,950$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3160%0 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…37fcbacked Yes7c9,286$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-72.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd837…920abacked Yes8c9,038$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8276…48e4backed Yes14c8,922$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.771414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x436f…2c7fbacked Yes8c8,913$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6882552%13 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd662…48fcbacked Yes9c8,654$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.0830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes9c8,522$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.737011.4%8 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes13c8,268$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.763020%6 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-54.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d9…fdd5backed Yes13c8,200$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08950%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e40…3080backed Yes19c7,694$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.46714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-75.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes12c7,456$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8916233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2919…ddbfbacked Yes7c6,892$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.97812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick6cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes9c6,433$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.052420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes8c6,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.81618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-64%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae21…d7d9backed Yes3c5,610$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9450%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf040…3a86backed Yes1c5,412$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.172425%6 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b9f…0b8cbacked Yes2c5,333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes7c5,242$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.4140%0 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80c7…2c9fbacked Yes2c5,000$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes5c4,809$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.45120%0 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63c7…d693backed Yes14c4,717$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.3460%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f54…0161backed Yes13c4,605$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.69728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-39.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ad…bd19backed Yes9c4,599$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.39147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7607…c74bbacked Yes1c4,185$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60313.2%1 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick12cpaid-91.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520110%0 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked Yes6c3,950$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8314849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10e…cbc9backed Yes8c3,879$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes2c3,723$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.211246.5%8 W · 116 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0b…7278backed Yes13c3,600$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4681241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec53…e515backed Yes15c3,382$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8404…b69fbacked Yes12c3,308$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes12c3,205$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.052010%2 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe461…9a34backed Yes14c3,199$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7414…8e95backed Yes10c3,171$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.71128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-75.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c35…896fbacked Yes9c3,167$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes12c3,092$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.588617.4%15 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67fb…788fbacked Yes8c3,004$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes8c2,800$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2247335.6%26 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3096…58a3backed Yes5c2,680$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.466526.2%17 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes9c2,674$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.81238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c2,620$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.15230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed Yes7c2,605$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.342744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid-18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x455a…d8bcbacked Yes8c2,600$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes6c2,578$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.06120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Yes8c2,499$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.341884.3%8 W · 180 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…60c9backed Yes14c2,474$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff3…8c08backed No79c2,300$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.462755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x932f…2cd8backed Yes9c2,244$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked Yes5c2,202$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.083315.2%5 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-65.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a3…e60abacked Yes4c2,200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.22817.9%5 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-62.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72bd…2b64backed Yes5c2,085$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.01190%0 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Yes2c2,084$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-70.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f47…500cbacked Yes6c2,079$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.91110%0 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes1c2,001$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.019741.2%40 W · 57 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0482…6b0abacked Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260488.3%4 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-75.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe373…e8e8backed Yes14c2,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29090%0 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14070%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes6c2,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-45.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe995…06b7backed Yes2c1,916$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.43425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3054…69c5backed Yes17c1,856$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.77150%0 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Yes12c1,847$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0311921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c3…3a41backed Yes11c1,814$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes1c1,764$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.431306.2%8 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-63.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe522…5e67backed Yes16c1,667$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9c…9b3abacked Yes7c1,617$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb66…93ddbacked Yes3c1,600$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes1c1,592$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.174717%8 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed Yes12c1,567$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.62532%8 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+197.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d9…d6dbbacked Yes8c1,553$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.62619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes1c1,522$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.04488.3%4 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe138…6aa4backed Yes21c1,507$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes12c1,500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1853030%9 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.