Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f879a52e5349db7f66d386ca75f1a9bb608fdd6a738a1582681613730b23281
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,109,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,156,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,109,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 8c | 434,766$33,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,594.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…dde5backed Yes | 10c | 327,330$33,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,543.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 221,188$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.28 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…eddabacked Yes | 8c | 156,255$12,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,263.37 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…1007backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 79,106$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…dac5backed Yes | 0c | 77,157$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…b541backed Yes | 0c | 60,137$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09aa…0879backed Yes | 10c | 55,033$5,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,614.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 51,100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 2c | 48,445$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.63 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…03acbacked Yes | 6c | 39,888$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 33,329$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…011abacked Yes | 8c | 32,700$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 10c | 32,528$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.07 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 4c | 30,516$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.75 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 8c | 30,476$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 12c | 28,187$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.85 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 26,434$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.06 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked Yes | 5c | 25,386$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.56 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 2c | 24,990$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.69 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…e931backed Yes | 4c | 24,708$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 9c | 24,393$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.22 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 3c | 23,829$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.98 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 2c | 23,726$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.57 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…169dbacked Yes | 6c | 23,568$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…a166backed Yes | 0c | 21,843$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 14c | 21,546$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…0098backed Yes | 11c | 20,301$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 5c | 19,620$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 5c | 18,131$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.02 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…37fcbacked Yes | 5c | 17,027$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.82 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 5c | 16,245$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.54 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…fdffbacked Yes | 11c | 14,944$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 12c | 14,311$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.38 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…16babacked Yes | 10c | 13,888$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.1 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eba…3865backed Yes | 10c | 13,649$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e40…3080backed Yes | 14c | 13,053$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…333dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,030$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…15abbacked Yes | 7c | 12,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…6624backed Yes | 2c | 11,656$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.93 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…fdd5backed Yes | 12c | 11,043$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf678…a255backed Yes | 3c | 11,019$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…3c1abacked Yes | 8c | 10,850$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Yes | 16c | 10,315$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.71 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…e8e8backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9b…5803backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…0161backed Yes | 14c | 9,712$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 12c | 9,597$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.54 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…8f94backed Yes | 6c | 8,828$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 7c | 8,817$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.2 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…6a21backed Yes | 2c | 8,676$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edf…1011backed Yes | 5c | 8,185$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Yes | 17c | 8,169$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 7c | 8,109$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31cd…47e5backed Yes | 11c | 8,097$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ce…0817backed Yes | 11c | 8,085$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c41…d286backed Yes | 3c | 8,000$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6b9dbacked Yes | 13c | 7,905$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 3c | 7,850$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.8 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed5…f818backed Yes | 6c | 7,753$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,377$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…0af0backed Yes | 13c | 7,126$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.88 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fb…788fbacked Yes | 5c | 7,043$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 11c | 7,000$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…5793backed Yes | 5c | 6,978$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.61 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe138…6aa4backed Yes | 18c | 6,905$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…4ccbbacked Yes | 15c | 6,713$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24d…277fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,340$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746a…8a4bbacked Yes | 17c | 6,316$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 10c | 6,271$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.49 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269f…24d6backed Yes | 16c | 6,255$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed Yes | 10c | 6,152$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.08 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b5…708dbacked Yes | 8c | 6,116$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccb…fbbbbacked Yes | 17c | 6,035$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…8d64backed Yes | 13c | 6,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.53 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 3c | 5,998$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbce…30bebacked Yes | 17c | 5,967$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3377…af60backed Yes | 12c | 5,918$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 5c | 5,651$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.74 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…c5ffbacked Yes | 4c | 5,528$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…c549backed Yes | 4c | 5,478$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29d…343abacked Yes | 12c | 5,331$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.57 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…3175backed Yes | 15c | 5,305$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +367.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 8c | 5,174$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.09 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 5,145$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…1869backed Yes | 0c | 4,943$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 8c | 4,915$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.01 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…4344backed Yes | 4c | 4,895$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…7cb2backed Yes | 5c | 4,578$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 1c | 4,502$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…2b64backed Yes | 5c | 4,416$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.84 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 2c | 4,333$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…b6c5backed Yes | 15c | 4,247$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…2cd8backed Yes | 5c | 3,933$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…c556backed Yes | 17c | 3,909$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefd…4f2abacked Yes | 14c | 3,905$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.