Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb139a61f2cc201078f5ed717781b7227b740645d07fec2a07d2d4bcd16ff8a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $512,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $471,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $512,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e51…3c15backed No | 0c | 111,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…1120backed No | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…eb02backed No | 0c | 40,310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed No | 3c | 27,007$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…5db1backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e2…778cbacked No | 0c | 12,950$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 11,300$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 10c | 10,140$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.7 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…bc8dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae9…67ffbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 33c | 9,227$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.61 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed No | 13c | 7,697$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.62 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 25c | 4,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 28c | 3,426$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.98 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 10c | 3,298$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.46 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 9c | 3,036$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 61c | 2,810$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.31 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…5083backed No | 7c | 2,719$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fd…1cd0backed No | 7c | 2,607$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…0b46backed No | 0c | 2,375$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 44c | 2,375$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 18c | 2,374$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.34 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 11c | 2,331$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.68 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 1c | 2,083$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 1c | 2,023$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.31 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.92 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 28c | 1,988$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.39 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…0e8bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,938$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…c177backed No | 56c | 1,902$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked No | 12c | 1,786$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.32 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e74…6d51backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 9c | 1,470$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2c…7aadbacked No | 23c | 1,310$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbce…30bebacked Yes | 77c | 1,298$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 39c | 1,295$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.8 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…1905backed Yes | 49c | 1,246$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…37b0backed No | 11c | 1,206$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +103%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,167$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 3c | 1,133$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b58…c206backed No | 36c | 1,130$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 72c | 1,107$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.31 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.73 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 59c | 1,100$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…5007backed Yes | 76c | 1,100$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…90e7backed Yes | 68c | 1,098$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 4c | 1,069$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…421fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,055$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 72c | 1,015$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.68 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f420backed Yes | 70c | 999.62$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 7c | 933.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 20c | 925.41$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.88 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952b…edfabacked No | 17c | 879.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked No | 23c | 869.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +113%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 866.56$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.97 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 32c | 863.6$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.1 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d2…bf60backed No | 9c | 853.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…b934backed No | 32c | 789.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked Yes | 77c | 785.7$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.08 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…3c41backed No | 26c | 759.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 3c | 714.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…5466backed No | 18c | 696.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…01c5backed Yes | 75c | 692.64$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 689.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked No | 21c | 680$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…b994backed No | 15c | 661.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 3c | 660.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…3871backed Yes | 76c | 629.98$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…85c8backed Yes | 65c | 613.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 10c | 594.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked Yes | 70c | 581.11$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed No | 14c | 572.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 23c | 570.52$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…ed29backed Yes | 66c | 549.98$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…ba77backed No | 30c | 542.26$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 71c | 525$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…ff90backed Yes | 59c | 524.98$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…16babacked Yes | 68c | 523.17$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.43 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 31c | 520.91$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 31c | 519.77$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 16c | 515.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Yes | 54c | 500.44$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.62 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccf…8475backed No | 4c | 500.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…4f03backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…8880backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 74c | 499.97$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…e3c2backed No | 31c | 485.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes | 60c | 474.92$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 22c | 466.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed Yes | 68c | 457.77$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 8c | 456.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 64c | 429$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefd…4f2abacked Yes | 65c | 427.63$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 9c | 413.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked Yes | 56c | 409$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.06 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked Yes | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.