Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeda0e0633f131b761cbe6c6e5e16ae347c48d9448a08c5826bfc2c794b63758e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,953,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,652,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,953,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 925 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 13c | 286,124$36,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,840.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…dde5backed Yes | 11c | 86,392$9,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,906.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 15c | 82,222$12,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,306.4 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 17c | 74,130$12,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,406.3 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 13c | 67,642$8,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,971.23 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…2c4dbacked Yes | 26c | 66,734$17,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,350.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefd…4f2abacked Yes | 20c | 58,036$11,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,666.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 9c | 55,887$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.75 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked Yes | 15c | 49,765$7,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,372.21 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 24c | 46,374$11,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,017.94 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…35cabacked No | 73c | 40,000$29,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…385bbacked Yes | 20c | 30,770$6,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,032.41 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 21c | 29,959$6,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,282.85 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 2c | 29,575$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 18c | 27,877$5,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,081.73 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 18c | 25,813$4,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.7 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…548cbacked Yes | 10c | 25,252$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…1b28backed No | 74c | 24,198$17,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,291.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…011abacked Yes | 16c | 23,735$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 19c | 22,993$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.87 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…64d1backed No | 74c | 22,020$16,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,725.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…ba77backed No | 74c | 21,345$15,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,518.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 20,579$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.37 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…138ebacked No | 74c | 20,489$15,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,327.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 31c | 20,449$6,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed No | 77c | 18,769$14,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…129abacked No | 78c | 17,035$13,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…1672backed Yes | 4c | 16,479$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.71 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fb…788fbacked Yes | 8c | 16,250$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 15c | 14,681$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.38 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 22c | 14,563$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.08 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…3a0ebacked No | 77c | 14,282$11,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…6624backed Yes | 3c | 14,020$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.08 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5082…049dbacked Yes | 27c | 13,193$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.34 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 4c | 13,125$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.89 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 73c | 12,817$9,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.48 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 16c | 12,769$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.16 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…89a1backed No | 79c | 12,563$9,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…aa30backed Yes | 10c | 12,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 22c | 11,583$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.43 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 30c | 11,398$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…48ccbacked Yes | 27c | 11,021$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…16babacked Yes | 23c | 10,985$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.41 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yes | 13c | 10,568$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0618…c39abacked Yes | 3c | 10,122$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 26c | 10,034$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.84 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 12c | 9,741$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.95 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,666$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…e931backed Yes | 13c | 9,641$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8d…aa15backed Yes | 20c | 9,086$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…63dbbacked Yes | 28c | 8,984$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…1867backed Yes | 11c | 8,743$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…5f6abacked Yes | 28c | 8,666$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…53f7backed Yes | 13c | 8,541$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.37 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 27c | 8,513$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.23 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…e868backed Yes | 2c | 8,325$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked Yes | 12c | 8,099$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…7b5bbacked Yes | 29c | 7,999$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 22c | 7,823$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.5 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 27c | 7,750$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 20c | 7,593$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.77 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e40…3080backed Yes | 25c | 7,575$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed Yes | 15c | 7,574$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x952b…edfabacked No | 79c | 7,409$5,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…4709backed Yes | 30c | 7,303$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487b…5915backed No | 56c | 6,962$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 67c | 6,792$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 24c | 6,775$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.37 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…4a62backed No | 75c | 6,489$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…48e4backed Yes | 26c | 6,410$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.44 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,364$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked No | 67c | 6,323$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…b294backed Yes | 23c | 6,200$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 9c | 6,059$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Yes | 19c | 6,043$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd949…5507backed Yes | 19c | 5,831$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 23c | 5,793$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.44 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…3c88backed Yes | 24c | 5,792$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 70c | 5,704$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.04 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…bd19backed Yes | 15c | 5,631$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.62 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,565$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.77 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3377…af60backed Yes | 13c | 5,541$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cc…31ddbacked No | 66c | 5,476$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48a…7a1cbacked Yes | 25c | 5,470$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 2c | 5,447$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…37fcbacked Yes | 14c | 5,297$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 71c | 5,274$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…ac9ebacked Yes | 15c | 5,191$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…2c49backed Yes | 2c | 5,055$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…6a1bbacked Yes | 30c | 5,027$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ef…b402backed Yes | 25c | 5,010$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…4fd6backed Yes | 27c | 4,973$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed No | 64c | 4,839$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ca…cd59backed Yes | 2c | 4,726$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e515backed Yes | 20c | 4,705$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…421fbacked Yes | 19c | 4,663$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 23c | 4,655$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.45 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…101bbacked Yes | 32c | 4,607$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.