Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b2a9f58aeca1de7fc2e404760336db43c8bbee2123edb4c90bb446fac834d56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $361,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb826…635abacked No | 9c | 36,909$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 34c | 21,984$7,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,558.06 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 21c | 20,257$4,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.25 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 63c | 15,485$9,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,776.24 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 65c | 13,000$8,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…1e69backed No | 60c | 8,370$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 35c | 8,228$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.94 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…6acfbacked Yes | 68c | 7,985$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 60c | 7,828$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.29 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 40c | 6,909$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.09 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 29c | 5,042$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.62 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed No | 44c | 5,040$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.57 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…72e1backed No | 30c | 4,200$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 52c | 3,929$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.93 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ba12backed No | 34c | 3,857$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 22c | 3,676$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.21 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 3,048$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 57c | 2,959$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.71 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 2,424$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked No | 13c | 2,267$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.81 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…2f6cbacked Yes | 66c | 2,254$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 34c | 2,187$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.46 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 34c | 2,047$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.34 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 74c | 2,029$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.67 | 292 | 36.3%106 W · 186 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…35acbacked Yes | 76c | 2,008$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.22 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 2c | 2,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…0e8bbacked No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb422…08acbacked No | 32c | 1,697$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 32c | 1,614$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed Yes | 67c | 1,532$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.15 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 58c | 1,336$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.87 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 25c | 1,322$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.49 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Yes | 29c | 1,297$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…c7e1backed Yes | 54c | 1,293$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 17c | 1,177$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 11c | 1,127$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 48c | 1,121$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.63 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 6c | 1,042$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…37fcbacked No | 5c | 1,018$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 60c | 959.72$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 71c | 925$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes | 54c | 814.44$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…a707backed No | 11c | 813.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 8c | 805.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 14c | 780$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…eb56backed No | 15c | 760$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…fcd4backed Yes | 29c | 710.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.95 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 25c | 687.07$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.13 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 12c | 630.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…ae63backed Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…4b66backed Yes | 70c | 599.99$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed No | 4c | 599.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 36c | 556.9$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.88 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 50c | 503.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…aab5backed No | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.48 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb8…1fe9backed Yes | 58c | 476.62$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 74c | 475.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.48 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…70b3backed No | 51c | 461$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…d725backed No | 9c | 450.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 50c | 439.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…3d3bbacked Yes | 28c | 425.05$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.57 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…fdffbacked No | 26c | 400$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…a039backed No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 71c | 399.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…4b36backed No | 44c | 379.95$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc082…eb9bbacked No | 17c | 373.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 29c | 355.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.94 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 24c | 331.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…83e2backed No | 8c | 328.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 32cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed No | 38c | 320.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde7…ca8bbacked No | 9c | 313.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…97a4backed No | 75c | 303.72$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…8b97backed No | 70c | 300$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…35cdbacked Yes | 48c | 299.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…738fbacked No | 10c | 295$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…a4a0backed No | 15c | 293.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf74…aa8ebacked No | 53c | 286.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed No | 13c | 280.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c47…37e8backed No | 23c | 276.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…7ad0backed Yes | 50c | 275.06$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 56c | 266.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea73…24f4backed No | 59c | 261.01$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c73…04f6backed Yes | 75c | 256.18$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed Yes | 54c | 251.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…fe44backed Yes | 32c | 240.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +216.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked Yes | 80c | 234.32$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked No | 49c | 227.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…abfbbacked No | 22c | 225.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…4623backed Yes | 59c | 213.76$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed Yes | 50c | 212.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed No | 33c | 210$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b5b4backed No | 10c | 203.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | +34.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.