TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0fac…b5b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT287.1%2 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-82.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.18
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+206.2%+$134.93
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.91
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.84
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.53
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.24
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$50.76
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.11
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.87
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.72
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.18
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$6.15
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.72
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37.41
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.73
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$73.58
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick27cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-64.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+1,061.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.