TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,538,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,460,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,538,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed No3c73,710$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.68,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No9c69,612$6,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,238.6443835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No5c66,635$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,579.2322834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5297…7b99backed No1c40,469$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.5640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed No4c37,782$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.33922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-59%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked No0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303010%3 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-77.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No3c24,376$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.4479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x746f…566dbacked No0c20,962$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6470…d6b1backed No4c20,812$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9f…1c48backed No0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No5c17,300$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.9358926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked No10c16,310$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.277126.8%19 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff1…98d7backed No12c14,665$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-68.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No0c14,299$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3310%0 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed No4c14,131$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.55215.4%8 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50b3…90c7backed No1c14,005$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c38…3f64backed No1c13,863$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed No7c13,283$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.372615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-69.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x614e…4f1bbacked No6c13,075$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No5c11,927$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.7275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6196…6208backed No1c11,626$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.24120%0 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No5c10,261$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.991,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a95…319dbacked No2c9,515$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1987…e630backed No0c9,404$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342030%6 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick16cpaid+103.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeaa…fae4backed No1c8,544$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.27185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed No6c8,511$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.7412241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed No3c7,684$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.42532%8 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No6c7,323$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.2921630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked No5c7,317$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.529324.7%23 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0797…d47cbacked No3c7,232$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked No1c6,050$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.39563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+93.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed No5c6,000$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2943652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed No9c6,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9942710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7995…6351backed No2c5,631$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd592…5034backed No1c5,407$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-54.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35bb…009bbacked No8c5,398$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.9640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85dd…62d4backed No9c5,286$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked No2c5,264$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.431,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked No4c5,124$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.926129.5%18 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked No10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002020%4 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed No3c4,700$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.485232.7%17 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14ac…d92dbacked No2c4,621$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11216440.9%67 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c4,422$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.677799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11fe…7003backed No2c4,417$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked No6c4,285$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.328936%32 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked No7c4,039$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2820427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf17…97d1backed No3c4,000$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb59…0a22backed No6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-67.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff1…e56dbacked No5c3,939$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.64258%2 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb7c…03f9backed No1c3,892$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019152.4%100 W · 91 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked No1c3,887$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.74735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f9…fa56backed No3c3,782$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.84616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-61.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef02…ea17backed No1c3,630$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6d…9c0ebacked No3c3,612$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b5…4c72backed No4c3,607$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+60.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4937…0675backed No5c3,566$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.61825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b08…1b68backed No1c3,484$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.211618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick30cpaid+25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed No6c3,349$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cb…1e54backed No3c3,339$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x874a…190fbacked No3c3,168$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No1c3,100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.31705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c2…11f3backed No3c2,983$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.461145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52fc…649ebacked No1c2,818$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed No2c2,800$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.840%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f5…9b37backed No4c2,697$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098f…7299backed No4c2,680$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ce…5d26backed No8c2,527$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.43918.8%8 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked No5c2,500$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.527811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260a…ddf0backed No4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d78…ffa6backed No5c2,500$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.57925.3%20 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No6c2,500$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.232629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc908…54f7backed No1c2,447$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173116.1%5 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-50.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51df…8605backed No8c2,445$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8100%0 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb01…ead3backed No4c2,439$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-43.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1eb2…fedbbacked No4c2,412$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-76.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5464…af99backed No4c2,400$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb12…d1b3backed No6c2,390$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.366918.8%13 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No7c2,390$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.191674.2%7 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No5c2,329$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011828.8%34 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4a8…9048backed No5c2,312$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc142…6446backed No1c2,308$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabf…bb11backed No3c2,305$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.15825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ce…cd2fbacked No8c2,281$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d9…a678backed No3c2,274$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e5…7127backed No3c2,239$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510135.6%36 W · 65 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92e5…efeebacked No6c2,222$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.321442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c2…ae50backed No6c2,209$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f3…975cbacked No2c2,164$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.746830.9%21 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf2…f8cfbacked No3c2,109$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed No2c2,101$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.581827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No3c2,075$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.76098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587c…9c4ebacked No4c2,072$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8810019%19 W · 81 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9630…b278backed No4c2,000$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5794…97c0backed No3c1,994$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf76f…de29backed No5c1,960$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891833.3%6 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+79.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xedcf…0321backed No4c1,890$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.541030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb68f…9802backed No6c1,886$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c2…3a29backed No1c1,822$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3b3…96cdbacked No5c1,818$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+201.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.