TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,995,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,100,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,995,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 985 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes22c324,535$72,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,817.26757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No78c254,314$197,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,057.8110948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes23c239,111$55,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,218.0519840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes23c103,030$23,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,696.8722455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af4…a7dfbacked No79c73,260$57,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,384.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+77.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes23c48,147$11,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,047.732951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No77c47,959$36,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,030.532075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed Yes22c44,999$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c44,796$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.88911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-81.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes22c40,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c37,770$28,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,961.391,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No78c32,149$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,149.440357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes10c30,214$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.157139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e9…cd29backed Yes4c28,301$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c27,741$21,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,291.152,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No77c27,077$20,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,227.619743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No77c26,446$20,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,202.586051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No77c22,358$17,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,231.731323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No77c20,149$15,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,731.85749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No77c20,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6003452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No78c19,999$15,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.8213844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d8a…e818backed Yes26c19,516$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8302…f88abacked Yes8c19,500$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No77c19,386$14,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,537.775750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No79c18,718$14,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,997.3912050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No78c18,586$14,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,119.8115459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No77c17,229$13,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,041.765853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes9c16,974$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.0212823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No77c16,500$12,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.993548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No77c16,000$12,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6806746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No78c14,725$11,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.5615051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Yes22c13,470$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.471163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes3c12,940$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.023727%10 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No77c12,720$9,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.63366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No77c12,256$9,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.9219255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No77c12,150$9,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.495442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No78c10,729$8,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.381952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes13c10,536$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x893b…b1b4backed Yes23c10,180$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.48911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-74.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Yes14c10,120$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-71.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes3c10,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.97540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No77c9,500$7,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.092853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No77c7,537$5,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.5111258%65 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051f…88aebacked Yes13c7,516$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed No79c7,098$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.34966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No77c6,616$5,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.6123456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No75c6,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes23c6,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3803240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28d2…38aebacked Yes5c6,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes23c5,150$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b05…1553backed Yes0c5,100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes6c5,090$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.71540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1005927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No78c4,887$3,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.189666.7%64 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked No78c4,860$3,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes23c4,400$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0127452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7906…5e86backed Yes23c4,278$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No77c4,188$3,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.8212757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No77c3,985$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.2235442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No77c3,971$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.2668450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes5c3,881$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.374665.2%30 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+52.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf65f…4493backed No77c3,870$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked No78c3,846$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.151457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked No78c3,846$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.151942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No77c3,820$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.592479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed No78c3,755$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick78cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…49d9backed Yes11c3,700$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked No79c3,416$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.61666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff3…2eeebacked Yes13c3,366$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4331637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac20…a68abacked Yes12c3,304$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3de3…2fc5backed No77c3,274$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e1b…c346backed Yes1c3,032$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No77c3,004$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.994850%24 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6908160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5197…0ce6backed Yes3c2,918$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes21c2,781$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.8833734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cf…91abbacked Yes24c2,764$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes22c2,695$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.647927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes21c2,677$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.1821641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ff…38c2backed Yes3c2,619$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.951241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No78c2,612$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.631973.7%14 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Yes23c2,609$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc3…2a13backed No78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c2,527$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.6183650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd79c…9f33backed Yes24c2,515$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55028045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed No78c2,500$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes11c2,499$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9613419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No78c2,491$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.121457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bac…acd0backed Yes6c2,469$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e94…b757backed Yes7c2,427$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c2,414$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.2148153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ad…7df7backed Yes23c2,324$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Yes13c2,303$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c2,240$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.4244039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ac…8d19backed Yes1c2,182$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No78c2,175$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.2913051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.