Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaaa1338d38b5c614196c9a926dd84babc3984442f2ec9b937a16284a199ec3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,396,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,432,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,396,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 9,132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 24c | 1,479,328$347,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131,582.42 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 47c | 950,055$447,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502,084.08 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Yes | 65c | 914,154$594,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594,200.33 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 36c | 728,914$262,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466,155.15 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 75c | 659,227$494,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494,154.16 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked No | 23c | 499,993$114,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384,994.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Yes | 64c | 465,341$300,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 54c | 446,667$242,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,265.67 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed No | 24c | 400,000$96,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304,000 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +7.8wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…5ae8backed No | 27c | 399,424$106,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293,364.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 375,522$122,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253,244.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 368,992$259,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259,018.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 60c | 290,258$174,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174,600.52 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 28c | 266,320$73,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,914.86 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 76c | 246,485$188,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,070.55 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 23c | 185,800$43,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,486.09 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 71c | 138,444$98,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,028.6 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e013backed Yes | 77c | 128,404$98,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,870.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 48c | 116,079$55,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,766.46 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked Yes | 48c | 113,441$54,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,451.68 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…71cdbacked Yes | 77c | 99,156$76,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed No | 24c | 94,774$22,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,028.21 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 24c | 91,998$22,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,918.14 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 76c | 86,223$65,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,518.08 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 44c | 81,055$35,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,735.78 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…df66backed Yes | 77c | 79,814$61,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,456.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…3ae5backed Yes | 54c | 68,619$37,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,200 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 39c | 68,492$26,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,057.86 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 25c | 68,285$17,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,031.82 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 77c | 63,260$48,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,586.56 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 34c | 62,742$21,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,259.75 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dce…ecd7backed Yes | 77c | 58,245$44,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,848.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 24c | 52,994$12,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,534.52 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…4cf3backed Yes | 77c | 50,505$38,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,888.88 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…fe52backed Yes | 0c | 50,056$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked No | 57c | 50,000$28,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,562.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +93%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 28c | 50,000$13,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,806.87 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 23c | 50,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,499.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes | 76c | 48,949$37,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,316.83 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 24c | 45,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,199.8 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 46c | 43,799$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 9c | 42,737$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,724.38 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…5f61backed Yes | 76c | 42,487$32,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,290.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 24c | 41,783$10,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,754.89 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed No | 24c | 41,667$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,666.67 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…d2b1backed Yes | 77c | 41,142$31,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,687.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 77c | 41,064$31,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,629.97 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…58adbacked Yes | 79c | 40,559$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,000 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 24c | 40,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,399.74 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 36c | 39,422$14,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,230.39 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…e539backed Yes | 76c | 39,411$29,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,766.19 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 24c | 39,340$9,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,905.03 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…5d4abacked Yes | 64c | 39,201$25,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,088.44 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…dcc2backed Yes | 65c | 38,598$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 48c | 36,187$17,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,346.64 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 23c | 36,000$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,720 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes | 14c | 35,250$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.86 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…d7e6backed Yes | 76c | 35,000$26,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,600 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c5…ebc7backed Yes | 77c | 35,000$26,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,950 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 60c | 33,210$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 18c | 32,303$5,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,504.15 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 32,277$19,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,134.72 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…acd1backed Yes | 77c | 31,702$24,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,410.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 38c | 31,076$11,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,266.98 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed No | 35c | 30,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,500 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 24c | 29,166$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,166.16 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 48c | 29,070$14,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,045.51 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Yes | 76c | 28,000$21,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,229.91 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked No | 32c | 28,000$9,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,942.39 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 23c | 27,883$6,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,366.39 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 73c | 27,561$19,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,562.28 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 71c | 26,700$18,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,855 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…fee9backed Yes | 76c | 26,316$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 23c | 26,000$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,020 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…e1c2backed Yes | 77c | 26,000$20,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,020 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 23c | 26,000$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,019.97 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 59c | 25,979$15,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,449.21 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 77c | 25,974$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…38d1backed Yes | 76c | 25,706$19,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,536.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 78c | 25,632$19,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,992.84 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Yes | 1c | 25,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…c141backed No | 36c | 25,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 46c | 24,727$11,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,488.55 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 8c | 24,221$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,283.72 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 26c | 24,025$6,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,792.35 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 23c | 22,221$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,110.29 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 22,146$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,750.38 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…9f2abacked No | 23c | 21,825$5,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,726.83 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…fb48backed No | 25c | 21,263$5,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,947.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed No | 24c | 20,833$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,832.92 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 24c | 20,373$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,518.27 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 77c | 20,148$15,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,507.47 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed No | 23c | 20,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,500 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed Yes | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,399.99 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,199.97 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,399.84 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed No | 55c | 20,000$10,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,084.85 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed No | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,199.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Yes | 76c | 19,999$15,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,199.14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?this page
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?No won
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.