Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b369e10358094a99ffe7f85a81a8e8ca68c611eee0fe63a2efa790ad045bcd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,359,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,760,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,359,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 7,338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 70c | 314,137$219,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,279.08 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5925…b194backed Yes | 50c | 243,461$122,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,011.95 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 50c | 238,314$118,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,772.85 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed No | 56c | 156,193$87,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,974.75 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 137,872$100,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,242.11 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 50c | 137,449$69,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,384.46 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed No | 44c | 102,671$45,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,554.8 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…7d47backed Yes | 22c | 100,056$21,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,656.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c1…39e2backed No | 73c | 99,200$71,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,278.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…34bfbacked Yes | 31c | 92,808$29,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,004.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed No | 78c | 84,444$66,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,155.71 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…907dbacked No | 54c | 70,499$38,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,324.83 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -8.4wins | -0.31per pick | 57cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 57c | 57,801$32,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,759.76 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 71c | 56,910$40,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,331.3 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked No | 64c | 49,430$31,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,022.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 33c | 46,727$15,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,597.41 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 51c | 46,704$23,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,783.99 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 42c | 44,282$18,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,443.25 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 18c | 41,560$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,353.35 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…05cfbacked Yes | 24c | 41,060$9,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,698 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 46c | 40,707$18,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,773.3 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…f23ebacked Yes | 68c | 40,288$27,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,584.1 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 69c | 40,153$27,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,468.66 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…8669backed Yes | 37c | 35,817$13,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,358.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 48c | 35,223$16,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,380.52 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 39c | 34,412$13,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,152.86 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 56c | 33,180$18,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,579.41 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…229cbacked Yes | 54c | 32,418$17,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,646.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 48c | 32,221$15,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,698.19 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b1…38f5backed No | 72c | 31,975$23,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,952.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…6531backed Yes | 75c | 31,975$23,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,916.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 29c | 31,157$9,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,114.45 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…5c72backed No | 26c | 31,095$7,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,103.47 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 18c | 29,379$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,073.06 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed No | 33c | 28,372$9,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,090.79 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…77eebacked No | 79c | 28,266$22,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,864.77 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…1d17backed Yes | 67c | 28,092$18,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,949.88 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 52c | 27,882$14,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,424.19 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes | 69c | 27,379$18,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,830.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 30c | 26,948$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Yes | 15c | 26,559$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.05 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…a08dbacked Yes | 45c | 25,153$11,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,269.67 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…cde1backed No | 36c | 24,865$8,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,962.27 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed No | 63c | 23,344$14,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,678.52 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 38c | 23,007$8,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,709.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…36cbbacked No | 48c | 22,657$10,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,894.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked No | 58c | 22,088$12,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,364.78 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…bf7fbacked Yes | 41c | 22,058$8,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,946.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 58c | 21,988$12,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,160.07 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed No | 46c | 21,941$10,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,808.25 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…29f6backed No | 46c | 21,855$10,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,786.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 26c | 21,750$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,184.55 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…c2ddbacked No | 41c | 21,621$8,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,830.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 56c | 21,614$12,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,612.84 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…d061backed No | 66c | 20,886$13,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,202.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…94fabacked No | 69c | 20,617$14,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,435.32 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 35c | 20,086$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,998.97 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 25c | 20,000$4,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,915.88 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 59c | 19,709$11,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,551.66 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 29c | 19,158$5,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,606.03 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 69c | 18,831$12,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,890.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 57c | 18,806$10,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,652.62 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…cdb9backed No | 68c | 18,773$12,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,079.52 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 45c | 18,757$8,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,410.02 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 52cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 26c | 18,601$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,710.33 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…0e97backed No | 74c | 18,028$13,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,690.53 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 13c | 17,693$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…e944backed No | 79c | 17,407$13,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 61c | 17,323$10,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,692.23 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…7f65backed Yes | 70c | 17,057$11,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,913.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked No | 49c | 17,053$8,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,647.57 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…60c2backed Yes | 25c | 16,896$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.68 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed Yes | 73c | 16,383$11,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,927.76 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 46c | 16,142$7,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700.22 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked Yes | 74c | 15,899$11,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,747.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 59c | 15,639$9,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,380.93 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked Yes | 64c | 15,625$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 63c | 15,621$9,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,847.25 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…8f75backed No | 80c | 15,586$12,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed No | 49c | 15,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.99 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 46c | 14,942$6,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000.91 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 72c | 14,763$10,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,636.2 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 32c | 14,754$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,046.18 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 41c | 14,696$6,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,622.9 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 21c | 14,608$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,483.97 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed Yes | 54c | 14,414$7,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,841.87 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 38c | 14,334$5,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.51 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…d52bbacked Yes | 70c | 14,281$9,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,952.07 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 75c | 14,281$10,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.81 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed No | 79c | 14,239$11,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f94…7d96backed No | 55c | 14,191$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,413.5 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 54c | 14,183$7,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,623.11 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…49cebacked No | 31c | 14,111$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,678.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed No | 46c | 13,919$6,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,461.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 55c | 13,841$7,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,246.74 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 53c | 13,785$7,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,491.73 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…e196backed No | 54c | 13,768$7,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,296.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 66c | 13,755$9,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.48 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 35c | 13,629$4,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,748.2 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 29c | 13,465$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.83 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.