Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d0c4865bdecc5f7971dbab47bb6c069d93909dec75bdff52fb766ae6094a6d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,223,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,227,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,223,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 7,150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 125,286$78,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,832.2 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 33c | 118,345$39,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,489.61 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed No | 40c | 83,420$33,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,266.76 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…29f6backed No | 29c | 81,959$23,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,887.34 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5925…b194backed Yes | 64c | 73,925$46,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,973.45 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…77eebacked Yes | 56c | 63,552$35,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,063.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 34c | 53,128$18,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,122.99 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 54c | 52,759$28,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,248.68 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 48c | 52,171$25,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,144.01 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 59c | 51,651$30,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,422.83 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…34bfbacked Yes | 53c | 51,183$27,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,921.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed No | 43c | 45,482$19,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,571.49 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 27c | 41,860$11,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,272.63 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 71c | 38,951$27,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,123.64 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…e7ebbacked Yes | 68c | 32,814$22,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,655.97 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…907dbacked No | 52c | 30,459$15,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,890.28 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -8.4wins | -0.31per pick | 57cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…1fcabacked Yes | 62c | 26,772$16,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100.46 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed No | 45c | 26,167$11,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,903.75 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbce…3da1backed No | 24c | 25,900$6,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,244.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…6fddbacked No | 45c | 24,456$11,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,053 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 36c | 23,713$8,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,591.79 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 39c | 23,678$9,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,284.48 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…02bbbacked No | 38c | 23,666$9,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,040 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…2a6ebacked Yes | 51c | 23,330$11,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,454.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked No | 29c | 23,288$6,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,691.74 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 70c | 22,041$15,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,560.72 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 14c | 20,998$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.4 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 76c | 20,669$15,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,048.53 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 45c | 20,211$9,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,012.7 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 61c | 19,467$11,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,611.1 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…a08dbacked Yes | 56c | 19,176$10,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,390.87 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 61c | 19,147$11,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,533.4 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…49cebacked No | 37c | 18,416$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 61c | 18,079$10,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,134.77 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…62e0backed No | 35c | 18,000$6,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,329.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…08a0backed No | 50c | 17,506$8,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,778 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…43c8backed No | 0c | 17,331$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…cdb9backed No | 56c | 17,204$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,699.97 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 45c | 16,900$7,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,210.95 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fb…5f89backed Yes | 49c | 16,413$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,413.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…3f04backed No | 48c | 16,343$7,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,917.3 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed No | 47c | 16,164$7,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,566.44 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 50c | 16,000$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,019.96 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed No | 55c | 15,926$8,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,748.96 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed No | 4c | 15,861$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…9561backed No | 40c | 15,541$6,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,165 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 55c | 14,430$7,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,531.77 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…bb81backed Yes | 59c | 13,848$8,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,659.28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…c07bbacked No | 44c | 13,656$5,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…3a16backed Yes | 33c | 13,579$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,110.21 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +8.1wins | +0.58per pick | 35cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 42c | 13,565$5,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,696.04 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 44c | 13,317$5,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,804.75 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 34c | 13,163$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.28 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 37c | 12,028$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,446.42 | 117 | 28.2%33 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 64c | 11,609$7,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450.75 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…bbf7backed No | 44c | 11,488$5,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,108.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 29c | 11,383$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.39 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 36c | 11,300$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,120.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 11,181$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed No | 60c | 11,031$6,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,568.26 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…6be1backed No | 47c | 11,000$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d17…f3adbacked Yes | 67c | 10,864$7,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…a8adbacked Yes | 62c | 10,641$6,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb749…cd19backed No | 68c | 10,640$7,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,257.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f94…7d96backed No | 49c | 10,257$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 42c | 10,186$4,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.04 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf567…d3efbacked Yes | 25c | 10,038$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,527.01 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 17c | 10,000$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 61c | 10,000$6,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.13 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…10dcbacked No | 36c | 9,957$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x546c…868bbacked No | 51c | 9,794$4,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,989 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 25c | 9,718$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.83 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 62c | 9,526$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.65 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb332…2a4ebacked No | 53c | 9,475$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ed…b115backed No | 49c | 9,400$4,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed No | 43c | 9,396$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf192…6ee2backed Yes | 63c | 8,891$5,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.18 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 33c | 8,747$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.77 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 63c | 8,725$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.29 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…2342backed No | 39c | 8,518$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 65c | 8,463$5,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.56 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…0a92backed Yes | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…5583backed No | 34c | 7,939$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 31c | 7,251$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,003.58 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…1f00backed No | 41c | 7,207$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 27c | 7,123$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.54 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 77c | 7,007$5,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.95 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…76f5backed Yes | 64c | 6,915$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 33c | 6,896$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.52 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…36cbbacked No | 48c | 6,868$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 78c | 6,772$5,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.23 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…2563backed No | 45c | 6,713$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 57c | 6,636$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.01 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 30c | 6,547$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.3 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed No | 40c | 6,518$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.05 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cd…079bbacked No | 57c | 6,515$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…31ebbacked No | 58c | 6,469$3,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…d9ccbacked No | 49c | 6,450$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…db70backed No | 62c | 6,228$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.06 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…0348backed Yes | 74c | 6,216$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.22 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.