Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65f5c4e3c6853a68fb50b59054dfe4c9e5ca5b705e04ed008185648334d1931d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,008,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,156,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,008,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 89,102$69,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,249.17 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 12c | 34,917$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.52 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 4c | 33,644$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.76 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 17c | 28,205$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.37 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 67c | 22,120$14,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,930.04 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…907dbacked No | 24c | 18,107$4,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,749.77 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -8.4wins | -0.31per pick | 57cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 54c | 16,534$8,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,924.82 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 78c | 16,112$12,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,567.1 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 79c | 14,402$11,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,380.16 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 11c | 11,558$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.17 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 30c | 11,541$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.96 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…c1a7backed Yes | 25c | 10,897$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 10,500$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.26 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 60c | 10,089$6,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.71 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 61c | 9,869$5,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.85 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 25c | 9,702$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.9 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 5c | 7,991$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.38 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 4c | 7,446$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.64 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 47c | 6,920$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.81 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 16c | 6,898$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.91 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb332…2a4ebacked No | 68c | 6,772$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 75c | 6,749$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.25 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…9402backed Yes | 2c | 6,657$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 78c | 6,487$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059.92 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…bbf7backed No | 71c | 6,475$4,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 67c | 6,188$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.88 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked Yes | 17c | 5,365$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.68 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 40c | 5,321$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.89 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 36c | 5,146$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.29 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 21c | 5,119$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.92 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 14c | 4,856$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.48 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 4,348$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.21 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 39c | 4,288$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.18 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked No | 49c | 4,132$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.25 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 9c | 4,123$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.6 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…9561backed No | 79c | 4,067$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 61c | 4,000$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 3,617$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,600$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 59c | 3,596$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.21 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…cd31backed Yes | 45c | 3,300$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…8371backed No | 66c | 3,230$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.23 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 18c | 3,100$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 30c | 2,649$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.97 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc073…a9b0backed Yes | 23c | 2,499$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 7c | 2,447$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 2,431$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.08 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…4e83backed No | 23c | 2,391$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.07 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 39c | 2,369$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.98 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d4…3b1dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,352$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 18c | 2,339$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.27 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 77c | 2,300$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf192…6ee2backed Yes | 40c | 2,253$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.5 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 62c | 2,200$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 24c | 2,095$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.82 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed Yes | 76c | 2,053$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.8 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 23c | 1,988$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.96 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 18c | 1,800$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 18c | 1,714$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.53 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…fe43backed No | 73c | 1,632$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…a08dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.84 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 30c | 1,544$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6f…8df2backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 67c | 1,474$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.58 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…d9ccbacked No | 77c | 1,444$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 6c | 1,420$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed No | 61c | 1,416$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.94 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…af49backed Yes | 64c | 1,400$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 59c | 1,390$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.79 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 63c | 1,300$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,281$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Yes | 58c | 1,277$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.74 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…1601backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 76c | 1,250$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.72 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…fba3backed No | 73c | 1,248$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 1,235$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…386ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 1,174$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…4594backed No | 52c | 1,159$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.56 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 65c | 1,144$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.88 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 21c | 1,111$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 14c | 1,107$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.94 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,080$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…0e1cbacked No | 65c | 1,080$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.53 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 11c | 1,075$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…3204backed Yes | 14c | 1,058$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 28c | 1,056$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.37 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…20a3backed Yes | 46c | 1,051$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.02 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 23c | 1,039$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.66 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…45c6backed No | 14c | 1,038$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.81 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.