TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa20a…d92d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
227
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 67 out of 100 (+0.16 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 67 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7354.8%40 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.39
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,374.81
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,329.57
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$90.01
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.07
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.99
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.4
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$127.7
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT6442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.68
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$4.97
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Bbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$21.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$34.36
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.45
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.23
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$21.77
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$12.12
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85%+$55.6
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+180.6%+$64.35
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Bbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$87.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,159.81
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.49
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.04
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$479.49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.06
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,138.1
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,771.07
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$346.65
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$181.54
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.15
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$257.51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,747.51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,582Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$418.24
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$73.13
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$153.52
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,199.44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$750.76
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,305
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+5.8wins+0.48per pick35cpaid+244.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+690.1%+$1,137.41
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+306.9%+$1,339.38
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55%+$712.86
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+355.1%+$1,607.4
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$1,330
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$2,346.99
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,603Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+702.9%+$11,268.33
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$20.3
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$47.15
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.02
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3,000
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$494.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11,333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4,627.76
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$244
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$2,040.87
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+208.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,561Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$442.58
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+388.5%+$3,742.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$18.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$94.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning 2: Jie Cui vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$44.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.