Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db23c31145910fe7b9ee1789982c08cb61bece71b88d22b9fedceda2316fb67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LAZERof Contra, LAZER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b58…3474backed LAZER | 23c | 434.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Contra | 16c | 360.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Contra | 77c | 356.92$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.82 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LAZER | 66c | 314.32$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed LAZER | 71c | 308.78$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Contra | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b1…8e43backed LAZER | 75c | 276.19$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Contra | 19c | 211.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked LAZER | 71c | 211$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Contra | 60c | 210.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Contra | 42c | 209.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Contra | 79c | 208.02$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.93 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Contra | 27c | 180.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Contra | 44c | 179.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1de…aadfbacked LAZER | 23c | 146$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Contra | 56c | 133.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Contra | 29c | 113.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…eb1cbacked Contra | 13c | 107.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked LAZER | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed LAZER | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Contra | 71c | 99.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked Contra | 63c | 95.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Contra | 64c | 86.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked LAZER | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Contra | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Contra | 41c | 66.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed LAZER | 23c | 66.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed LAZER | 29c | 65.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…2c2ebacked Contra | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…0f7bbacked Contra | 28c | 52.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…cc47backed LAZER | 63c | 35.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…ed46backed LAZER | 63c | 31.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Contra vs LAZER - Map 1 WinnerLAZER won
- Valorant: Contra vs LAZER - Map 2 WinnerLAZER won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.