Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Contra vs LAZER - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3008d638dd312dc9300aceed28df041da10277398d1182df22780d5bfe89851e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LAZERof Contra, LAZER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x196b…4151backed Contra | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Contra | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 1.4%1 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Contra | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Contra | 65c | 299.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Contra | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Contra | 36c | 143.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LAZER | 56c | 112.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed LAZER | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed LAZER | 33c | 92.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed LAZER | 59c | 81.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LAZER | 42c | 79.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed LAZER | 40c | 55.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Contra | 41c | 49.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked LAZER | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Contra | 61c | 36.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Contra | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Contra | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Contra vs LAZER - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular SeasonLAZER won
- Valorant: Contra vs LAZER - Map 1 WinnerLAZER won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.