TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof magic, FaZe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,073,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,116,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,073,570 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 676 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked magic39c404,432$157,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246,903.9942440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed FaZe61c147,356$89,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,887.347363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked magic38c80,634$30,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,992.9614050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed FaZe61c50,003$30,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,502.043857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed FaZe61c40,000$24,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,399.9941649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked FaZe63c31,399$19,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,687.0636453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic38c29,447$11,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,277.225,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked FaZe62c25,000$15,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,45016245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked FaZe62c24,843$15,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,302.1975452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked FaZe61c24,068$14,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,681.412152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed FaZe62c20,796$12,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,851.9915947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked FaZe62c20,000$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,40038358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked magic22c17,267$3,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,523.0163057.1%360 W · 270 L+40.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked FaZe61c17,232$10,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,519.843053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed FaZe60c17,049$10,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,271.337346.4%173 W · 200 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76cf…9452backed FaZe61c16,000$9,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,76010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked magic37c15,555$5,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.539739.2%38 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FaZe61c15,258$9,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,245.6272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed magic31c15,000$4,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,369.976147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7093…0632backed FaZe61c14,636$8,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,895.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked magic17c14,021$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,700.229127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…eda7backed FaZe51c13,050$6,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,627.731643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed FaZe63c13,000$8,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1908043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked magic38c12,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,439.9636152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed FaZe62c11,290$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked FaZe61c8,500$5,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,18534559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed FaZe61c8,197$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00050051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FaZe65c7,337$4,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,786.711,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked magic29c7,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,950.2135940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked FaZe66c7,000$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6209248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked FaZe78c6,882$5,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,358.3516344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed magic38c6,786$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,202.443435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed FaZe64c6,410$4,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,082.3118056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked FaZe61c6,086$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,712.537054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked magic41c5,930$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520.433,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed magic39c5,288$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,228.268548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed magic38c5,207$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,228.6121048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed magic39c5,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.2148350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked FaZe61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0502356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FaZe48c4,972$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.52,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked FaZe62c4,839$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016344.2%72 W · 91 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked magic46c4,601$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.2759839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked magic40c4,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7007454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed magic34c4,272$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.256,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5667…8ca3backed magic62c4,236$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.632454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed FaZe49c4,063$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.1110560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked magic46c4,000$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1613759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FaZe38c3,779$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.942,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked FaZe72c3,778$2,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,728.915441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed FaZe62c3,520$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.598951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked magic39c3,384$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.7622754.2%123 W · 104 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed FaZe61c3,261$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd0…e262backed magic37c3,174$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc64e…978bbacked FaZe61c3,122$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked FaZe61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83021251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed magic38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…f908backed magic52c3,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+77.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed FaZe55c2,913$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60014362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed magic41c2,900$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.912259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca2f…3709backed magic37c2,865$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed magic36c2,785$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.395541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed magic37c2,778$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.852,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed magic40c2,750$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked FaZe76c2,692$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.8322468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed magic39c2,600$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5863250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked magic33c2,572$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.5212143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed FaZe52c2,570$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.36446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked FaZe58c2,549$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.9860953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked magic37c2,536$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.063,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed8…eb23backed FaZe65c2,503$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.442556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked FaZe62c2,478$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.568052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9324…7fbdbacked magic37c2,459$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked magic42c2,321$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.4922949.8%114 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed FaZe65c2,314$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50023861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked FaZe62c2,312$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.7727552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed FaZe75c2,298$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.2212660.3%76 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472a…2dadbacked FaZe70c2,275$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.472630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed magic28c2,273$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.689443.6%41 W · 53 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked magic53c2,129$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.161,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed magic26c2,100$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.865442.6%23 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed magic38c2,087$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.1622750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed FaZe61c2,072$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.9233950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed magic13c2,001$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.874542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed magic37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed FaZe62c2,000$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed magic25c1,995$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.625733.9%87 W · 170 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed FaZe61c1,988$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.9725446.1%117 W · 137 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed magic37c1,900$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.161,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed magic35c1,862$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.484,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FaZe40c1,852$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.164,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf518…07bcbacked magic40c1,822$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.971546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed magic38c1,816$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,13311843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed magic39c1,748$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.1420448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FaZe44c1,723$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.032,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked magic24c1,689$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.3663341.9%265 W · 368 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked FaZe59c1,688$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.466446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed FaZe69c1,672$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.3910946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed magic29c1,652$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.4948437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed magic12c1,614$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.776119.7%12 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed FaZe61c1,600$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97664058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.