CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b00528d48b22256dc25ed825bc09ebdbb080c1961951d39ff8da55bb0c00eaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof FaZe, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8963…c780backed FaZe | 2c | 25,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked FaZe | 37c | 3,964$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.66 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 63c | 3,027$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.3 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 44c | 2,524$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.94 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked magic | 45c | 2,494$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.15 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked magic | 42c | 2,309$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.09 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed FaZe | 45c | 2,019$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.1 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed magic | 64c | 1,727$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.58 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed FaZe | 36c | 1,709$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.12 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed magic | 61c | 1,208$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.77 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked FaZe | 66c | 1,151$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.41 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked FaZe | 59c | 1,092$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.24 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked magic | 58c | 939.2$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.18 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed FaZe | 39c | 800$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 63c | 773.78$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.3 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked FaZe | 37c | 719.82$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.1 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked magic | 61c | 664.01$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.93 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed FaZe | 39c | 512.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed FaZe | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed magic | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked magic | 50c | 378.76$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.38 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed magic | 61c | 371.23$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.66 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed magic | 62c | 243$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked FaZe | 41c | 239.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked FaZe | 36c | 233.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed FaZe | 33c | 226.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…9b43backed magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed magic | 62c | 160.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked magic | 23c | 155.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed FaZe | 25c | 118.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed FaZe | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed FaZe | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…a229backed FaZe | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed FaZe | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed FaZe | 41c | 93.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked magic | 58c | 86.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked magic | 64c | 71.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked FaZe | 19c | 70.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed magic | 61c | 69.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked magic | 65c | 69.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed magic | 62c | 64.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed magic | 64c | 58.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed FaZe | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…739abacked FaZe | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…2489backed FaZe | 60c | 50.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 52.8%112 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…386fbacked FaZe | 39c | 47.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FaZe | 42c | 42.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7050backed FaZe | 60c | 41.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked FaZe | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed FaZe | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed magic | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…99febacked magic | 64c | 38.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed magic | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed magic | 64c | 36.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed magic | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffd…d27cbacked magic | 40c | 33.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed magic | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed FaZe | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked magic | 36c | 29.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…6003backed FaZe | 70c | 27.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked FaZe | 43c | 26.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed magic | 64c | 26.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed FaZe | 63c | 26.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfc…781abacked FaZe | 60c | 24.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed magic | 62c | 24.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…00d8backed magic | 47c | 23.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…c750backed magic | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.