TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf48a…3594

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Valorant, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT4740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$56.73
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.38
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$239.15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.68
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.06
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.05
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$68.47
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.06
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,335.91
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.94
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$357.41
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$436.37
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.1
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+255.2%+$1,373.39
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$471.07
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$373.75
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$630.23
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$915.19
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$306.26
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.48
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.53
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+131.1%+$131.1
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,768.63
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,565Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$1,000.59
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+57.5%+$574.85
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT9100%9 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$7.58
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$770.28
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$290.92
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$141.18
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$129.55
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$348.12
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$153.32
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$149.45
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+50.5%+$159.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.16
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.5%+$1,260.06
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$944.52
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$125.4
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$1,328.71
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,397.36
Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$1,401.89
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$137.85
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$274.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$217.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$21.07
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$968.62
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" 20+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,656.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,089.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.