CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3caac7aaa6aae10b18649aa5dd3035f1b4963f06fb153edff2ffcbc12f51cb57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof FaZe, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NIP | 65c | 2,430$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.91 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed FaZe | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed NIP | 65c | 1,773$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.58 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP | 65c | 1,709$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed FaZe | 35c | 1,654$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.94 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 70c | 1,318$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed FaZe | 32c | 1,159$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.19 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NIP | 64c | 999.98$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked FaZe | 35c | 849.99$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FaZe | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed FaZe | 35c | 716.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed FaZe | 34c | 587.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 63c | 569.99$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.59 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NIP | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked FaZe | 27c | 370.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed FaZe | 36c | 332.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed FaZe | 36c | 325$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked FaZe | 36c | 281.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed NIP | 65c | 229.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed FaZe | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked NIP | 65c | 170$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed NIP | 65c | 162$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed NIP | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked FaZe | 38c | 133.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked FaZe | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked FaZe | 27c | 107.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…eee0backed NIP | 66c | 106.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed NIP | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed FaZe | 36c | 89.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked NIP | 67c | 66.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed FaZe | 35c | 65.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed NIP | 61c | 61.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed FaZe | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed NIP | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed NIP | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked FaZe | 36c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked FaZe | 35c | 42.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…e076backed NIP | 76c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked NIP | 65c | 36.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…14a0backed FaZe | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked FaZe | 34c | 33.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked NIP | 64c | 29.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed NIP | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed NIP | 66c | 19.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed NIP | 65c | 16.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.