CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eaeeb141ddd68decbb87604203a59d571627741932704d82bbec465b7c8bb1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 64c | 5,017$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.09 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 35c | 3,385$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.24 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 36c | 2,415$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.7 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 54c | 1,754$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.84 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 51c | 1,597$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.38 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 1,369$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.21 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 961.52$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.71 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 51c | 640.1$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.65 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 56c | 638.54$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.1 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Under | 48c | 435.42$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 54c | 406.17$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.44 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 46c | 343.24$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.35 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 64c | 288.94$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…08dbbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 55c | 159.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 70c | 151.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 54c | 96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed Under | 50c | 93.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Over | 43c | 81.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 44c | 78.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 50c | 63.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Under | 49c | 60.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 43c | 57.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…e076backed Over | 58c | 51.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa3…60b9backed Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 62c | 44.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 50c | 38.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 39c | 37.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 46c | 37.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 26.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.