TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chengdu Rongcheng FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Zhejiang Zhiye FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c76…c926backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC49c2,314$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.3313855.8%77 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf48a…3594backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC51c1,915$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.52977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC49c1,290$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.565,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC51c1,052$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.621,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51012552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC51c944.11$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.51,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC49c714$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8616454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC51c512.24$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25130049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC49c344.24$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.561650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC50c304.73$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.881,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC51c302.41$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.232,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC46c291.47$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.841,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC49c290.82$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.323363.6%21 W · 12 L+7.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC51c257.73$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.442,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC49c229.49$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.041631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC49c199.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.974862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.252657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC51c172.73$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.61,35445.4%615 W · 739 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC51c165.14$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.229458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC51c164.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.561,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x654d…ba8fbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC54c123.91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.914025%10 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-52%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3a0…108cbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC46c119.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.755100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC48c119.08$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.924555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC47c111.34$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0610041%41 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC53c104.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.522560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f5a…669bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC47c101.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db7…1cabbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC48c100.45$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210245.1%46 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC80c94.85$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.971,05341.9%441 W · 612 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC53c91.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC47c88.58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.952568%17 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+54.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC50c78.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.072240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC51c60.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8410335%36 W · 67 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34de…8e6bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC48c59.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcde4…aa62backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC48c53.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC46c53.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC51c46.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6111764.1%75 W · 42 L+11.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x669d…f27abacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC45c42.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.45100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC63c41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8320056.5%113 W · 87 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC47c40.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4519268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC49c40.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8146422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x608d…3933backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC48c38.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.839860.2%59 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC51c36.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8540156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC46c35.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.315549%76 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC49c35.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1711023.6%26 W · 84 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC51c27.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.244261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0664…f7f0backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC54c27.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC50c26.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.247155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC54c25.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.596038.3%23 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.