Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41cfe8dbc86f7ed718cd64ad7db7e087413765e98e2ffef1d2808415ca3d411d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 48c | 10,420$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.39 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 5,571$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.06 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 3,859$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.02 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,254$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +188.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 35c | 491.91$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 33c | 298$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 287.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 58c | 273.8$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 65c | 267$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 220.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 214.89$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 196.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 173.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 66c | 164.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 33c | 153.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 139.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 43c | 135.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 130.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 69c | 120.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 24c | 119.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 48c | 107.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 54c | 88.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 72c | 55.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 24c | 54.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 49.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Over | 49c | 48.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 48c | 48.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 66c | 44.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 29c | 37.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 43c | 35.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…565dbacked Under | 52c | 35.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 34.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…570cbacked Over | 48c | 32.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 31.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 54c | 26.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 24.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb0…3e9ebacked Under | 46c | 22.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 59c | 18.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.