Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x595117211b91ba045b4d53142b347ebfce4b19c910fd7cfae48886e32890d04e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,569$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.56 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,541$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.07 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…2c7dbacked No | 41c | 373.65$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca49backed Yes | 59c | 195.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…aa71backed Yes | 59c | 191.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Yes | 54c | 102.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…108cbacked No | 46c | 98.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 33c | 52.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 55c | 37.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 31.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Yes | 57c | 30.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 29.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 25.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 55c | 21.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.