TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked JD Gaming51c12,533$6,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,157.0796048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Bilibili Gaming48c10,000$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed JD Gaming51c5,773$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.3611150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Bilibili Gaming51c5,549$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,829.5711645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Bilibili Gaming75c5,397$4,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,057.9345366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked JD Gaming27c4,305$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,163.342,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed JD Gaming48c3,969$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.3648440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Bilibili Gaming50c2,910$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45521753.9%117 W · 100 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed JD Gaming45c2,748$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.4735054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked JD Gaming42c2,347$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.8732145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Bilibili Gaming52c2,207$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.4115431.8%49 W · 105 L-18.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Bilibili Gaming49c2,055$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.9885836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed JD Gaming49c2,016$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.3491854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Bilibili Gaming53c2,012$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.183148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed JD Gaming49c1,975$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.8720649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Bilibili Gaming51c1,825$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.8124147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked Bilibili Gaming73c1,824$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.34339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed JD Gaming48c1,366$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.4912349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed JD Gaming51c1,352$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.5110648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed JD Gaming49c1,318$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.9751044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Bilibili Gaming49c1,274$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.1250749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked Bilibili Gaming50c1,186$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.163467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked JD Gaming49c947.64$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.329944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6209…4dadbacked Bilibili Gaming52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Bilibili Gaming50c875.3$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.651,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Bilibili Gaming49c870$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.322624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff32…1f91backed Bilibili Gaming49c869.27$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed JD Gaming51c679.42$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9230050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Bilibili Gaming53c658.07$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.853148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Bilibili Gaming67c559.36$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.2132442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked Bilibili Gaming51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25517431%54 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed JD Gaming51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked JD Gaming50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25020045%90 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Bilibili Gaming50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.58242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Bilibili Gaming50c440.38$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1943640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Bilibili Gaming49c399.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1965858.6%34 W · 24 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4cff…9802backed Bilibili Gaming50c395.76$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed JD Gaming51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.245139.2%20 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf437…c0e9backed JD Gaming50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1942035%7 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed JD Gaming51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5139541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Bilibili Gaming50c368.6$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.347455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2489…ee90backed JD Gaming54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.677037.1%26 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed JD Gaming35c358.78$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8627050.7%137 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked JD Gaming46c338.43$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7570456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0bd…f2bdbacked JD Gaming59c331.26$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.29635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Bilibili Gaming50c320.1$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0510944%48 W · 61 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked JD Gaming48c319.68$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2328150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Bilibili Gaming63c310.41$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5621559.5%128 W · 87 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed JD Gaming46c305.73$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.951,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Bilibili Gaming65c305.14$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3478050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked JD Gaming50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15049541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…03c1backed Bilibili Gaming54c278.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.765855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb3a…a2aabacked Bilibili Gaming49c259.54$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.174358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed JD Gaming40c240$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14432351.4%166 W · 157 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d5…d1bbbacked Bilibili Gaming49c219.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.88429.8%25 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f3…883cbacked Bilibili Gaming69c212.5$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.265046%23 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x179d…26abbacked Bilibili Gaming52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10453829.9%161 W · 377 L-19.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Bilibili Gaming52c197.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4828655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ef…ef37backed Bilibili Gaming50c196.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.463455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf48a…3594backed Bilibili Gaming50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…16e6backed Bilibili Gaming50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9711852.5%62 W · 56 L-0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Bilibili Gaming58c190.83$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1618640.9%76 W · 110 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Bilibili Gaming52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.123850%19 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed JD Gaming54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.82,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed JD Gaming49c137.24$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9911651.7%60 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked JD Gaming54c135.06$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1311443.9%50 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed JD Gaming51c133.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.281,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Bilibili Gaming71c128.7$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.611567.8%78 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Bilibili Gaming45c118.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.655646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Bilibili Gaming50c108.64$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3216851.2%86 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x406d…5298backed Bilibili Gaming49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914363.6%91 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076b…dbfabacked Bilibili Gaming50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017646.6%82 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Bilibili Gaming49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4959647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6660…2398backed JD Gaming51c99.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Bilibili Gaming50c98.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4761150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Bilibili Gaming75c98.5$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8817140.9%70 W · 101 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d48…f5a2backed JD Gaming51c97.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.727244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Bilibili Gaming50c97.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.544046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Bilibili Gaming50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.553753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked JD Gaming51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6347434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed JD Gaming39c76.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.171,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Bilibili Gaming50c56.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1355744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Bilibili Gaming52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1414650.7%74 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Bilibili Gaming50c54.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4519161.8%118 W · 73 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1be4…1db1backed Bilibili Gaming52c53.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.131656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Bilibili Gaming55c52.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.223057.8%133 W · 97 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed JD Gaming56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2216251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed JD Gaming28c49.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.541,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Bilibili Gaming51c48.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7516647%78 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed Bilibili Gaming50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.252846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Bilibili Gaming50c46.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2882161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb682…2d79backed JD Gaming49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.185145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ff…b4dabacked Bilibili Gaming52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.426968.1%47 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a7…3165backed Bilibili Gaming52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.421764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Bilibili Gaming53c36.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.247452.7%39 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed JD Gaming60c34.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0421953%116 W · 103 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Bilibili Gaming46c32.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8841651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bbc…3d8abacked JD Gaming37c30.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked JD Gaming48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.610949.5%54 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Bilibili Gaming68c27.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6425154.2%136 W · 115 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.