Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x065b9fbfaca198f3e2e9d756d1957e999f8b36ae047029efef8d218e1c5a6423
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Over | 42c | 2,001$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 59c | 1,350$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.88 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 707.43$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.76 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Over | 34c | 559.04$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.91 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Under | 63c | 531.89$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.09 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over | 45c | 403.7$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Under | 67c | 244.61$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.89 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Under | 56c | 206.18$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Over | 37c | 196.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 49c | 186.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 20c | 172.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Over | 37c | 156.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed Over | 44c | 153.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 25c | 133.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Under | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 38c | 127.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…ef37backed Over | 40c | 71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Under | 57c | 68.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x856b…5f76backed Over | 41c | 55.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Over | 39c | 55.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be4…1db1backed Over | 37c | 53.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 78c | 50.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Under | 63c | 49.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Over | 38c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 37c | 46.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Over | 42c | 40.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 262 | 34.4%90 W · 172 L | -21.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbf…a9ffbacked Over | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 60c | 29.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 60c | 29.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 60c | 29.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 38c | 28.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 43c | 25.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 55c | 24.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…585bbacked Under | 64c | 22.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Under | 52c | 20.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 64c | 19.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2JD Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.