Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1c5419e5596f2684e279495de44c56030c468ba09f30df3b9bad6201d033a71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trace Esportsof Nova Esports, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nova Esports | 33c | 3,051$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.08 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Nova Esports | 54c | 1,806$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.45 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Trace Esports | 72c | 1,350$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.19 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Nova Esports | 31c | 1,248$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.01 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Trace Esports | 67c | 1,125$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.47 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Nova Esports | 28c | 1,024$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.13 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Trace Esports | 67c | 882.18$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.12 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Nova Esports | 32c | 779.66$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.17 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…d97bbacked Trace Esports | 45c | 697.07$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Nova Esports | 32c | 634.12$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.67 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -8.1wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Trace Esports | 67c | 632.7$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.79 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Nova Esports | 32c | 568.09$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.83 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Trace Esports | 63c | 544.82$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.58 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Nova Esports | 33c | 520$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Trace Esports | 69c | 512.03$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.73 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed Trace Esports | 70c | 497.79$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nova Esports | 9c | 477.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Trace Esports | 68c | 456.57$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Trace Esports | 69c | 409.31$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Trace Esports | 39c | 400$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Trace Esports | 69c | 355.58$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc8…a2e4backed Trace Esports | 70c | 343.7$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…e8b6backed Nova Esports | 30c | 338$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Trace Esports | 73c | 322.83$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…694cbacked Nova Esports | 30c | 320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Trace Esports | 67c | 315.31$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3192…71fbbacked Trace Esports | 70c | 314.24$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Nova Esports | 31c | 312$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Trace Esports | 69c | 308.64$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Trace Esports | 56c | 302.63$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c44…5d15backed Nova Esports | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…5cd6backed Trace Esports | 70c | 294.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…c7a9backed Nova Esports | 31c | 274.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…769ebacked Nova Esports | 29c | 270$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trace Esports | 65c | 268.66$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…f955backed Trace Esports | 71c | 265.3$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Trace Esports | 58c | 254.47$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…a0a7backed Nova Esports | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…ee81backed Nova Esports | 29c | 249.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…afdabacked Trace Esports | 71c | 245.65$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef9a…f58dbacked Trace Esports | 71c | 245.42$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Nova Esports | 28c | 239.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Trace Esports | 52c | 239.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nova Esports | 37c | 220.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Trace Esports | 69c | 215.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Nova Esports | 45c | 214.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Nova Esports | 32c | 206.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Nova Esports | 31c | 205.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…2108backed Trace Esports | 71c | 203$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…09ecbacked Trace Esports | 71c | 202$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…4e20backed Trace Esports | 71c | 201$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…5d19backed Trace Esports | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…e26bbacked Trace Esports | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…04bbbacked Trace Esports | 71c | 199.87$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f6…28c6backed Nova Esports | 29c | 194.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…495dbacked Nova Esports | 29c | 193.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…b5a8backed Nova Esports | 29c | 192.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…db4abacked Nova Esports | 29c | 191.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…083cbacked Nova Esports | 29c | 191.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…9d41backed Nova Esports | 29c | 191.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Trace Esports | 67c | 175.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 58c | 171.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nova Esports | 11c | 168.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Nova Esports | 31c | 164.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…7a04backed Nova Esports | 32c | 154.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Trace Esports | 71c | 151.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed Nova Esports | 40c | 148.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Nova Esports | 32c | 143.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked Trace Esports | 69c | 139.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trace Esports | 54c | 129.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Trace Esports | 70c | 124.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Trace Esports | 71c | 121.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Trace Esports | 66c | 117.58$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…1489backed Trace Esports | 73c | 115.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Nova Esports | 11c | 111.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Nova Esports | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…d999backed Nova Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Trace Esports | 73c | 99.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Trace Esports | 72c | 98.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Nova Esports | 14c | 94.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nova Esports | 30c | 92.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Nova Esports | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Nova Esports | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Trace Esports | 69c | 78.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Trace Esports | 48c | 74.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…ee0ebacked Trace Esports | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Nova Esports | 35c | 68.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Nova Esports | 36c | 67.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Trace Esports | 67c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…b7b1backed Trace Esports | 66c | 63.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Trace Esports | 70c | 62.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Nova Esports | 19c | 53.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Nova Esports | 32c | 51.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…95b6backed Nova Esports | 39c | 50.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…a67cbacked Nova Esports | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Nova Esports | 38c | 49.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Nova Esports | 34c | 49.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Trace Esports | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Trace Esports | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nova Esports | 27c | 46.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TE (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Trace Esports - Map 1 WinnerTrace Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Trace Esports - Map 2 WinnerTrace Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.