TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3657…a0a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 62 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT9051.1%46 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses GC vs 7VEN STARS (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Valorant: TYLOO vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.28
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$75.6
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.12
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.5
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$164
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+89.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$131.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$57.84
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$111.96
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$157.65
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.04
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$51
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+613.5%+$1,530.54
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$340
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.