Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6d0ed26a35861eb195219041cbea06a53e64621e75c959ddd3a99689ce88f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $488,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $546,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 457 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 65,095$30,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,256.01 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 45,000$27,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,899.99 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed XLG Gaming | 59c | 41,854$24,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,711.27 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 17,334$6,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,747.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 15,782$7,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,968.46 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 12,388$7,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,164.73 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1169backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 9,797$5,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 7,522$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.57 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 7,021$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 6,737$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.32 | 513 | 44.6%229 W · 284 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 5,010$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.64 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed XLG Gaming | 1c | 5,001$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed XLG Gaming | 42c | 4,503$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.74 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 4,502$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.1 | 199 | 60.3%120 W · 79 L | +17.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 4,438$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed XLG Gaming | 25c | 4,134$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 3,994$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.38 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…efd0backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 3,739$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.71 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 3,552$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.56 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…d371backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.85 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed XLG Gaming | 41c | 3,050$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.69 | 324 | 45.4%147 W · 177 L | +51.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 3,034$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 2,857$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 351 | 57.3%201 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 2,849$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.05 | 151 | 37.7%57 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 2,824$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.75 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 2,790$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 2,527$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.72 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 2,436$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 2,265$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.16 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 2,162$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…6c4abacked XLG Gaming | 65c | 2,160$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…cab3backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 2,000$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.49 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 1,950$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.73 | 420 | 35%147 W · 273 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 1,939$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.75 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked XLG Gaming | 52c | 1,929$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.04 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 1,887$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.07 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked XLG Gaming | 77c | 1,872$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.71 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…6c15backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 1,806$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 1,800$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.27 | 322 | 41.9%135 W · 187 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming | 29c | 1,756$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.4 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming | 29c | 1,737$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.67 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 1,700$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming | 54c | 1,687$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.13 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked XLG Gaming | 40c | 1,628$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 1,584$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 1,471$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.38 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed XLG Gaming | 41c | 1,462$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.42 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 1,453$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.43 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed XLG Gaming | 32c | 1,446$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.54 | 391 | 42.5%166 W · 225 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 1,431$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.19 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 1,419$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.29 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked XLG Gaming | 63c | 1,350$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.98 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…866dbacked XLG Gaming | 64c | 1,325$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 1,290$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.59 | 444 | 41.9%186 W · 258 L | -22.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 1,233$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.38 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 1,209$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.04 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…361ebacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 1,198$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.12 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…2a58backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 1,173$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.72 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 1,157$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 1,148$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.98 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked XLG Gaming | 53c | 1,145$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.58 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed XLG Gaming | 27c | 1,140$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.26 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…e133backed Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 1,104$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked XLG Gaming | 36c | 1,086$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…bd7fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 1,070$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.02 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 28c | 1,063$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.78 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked XLG Gaming | 5c | 1,051$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 46c | 1,033$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.74 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 226 | 49.1%111 W · 115 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 998.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.33 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 998.94$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.01 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 972$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.6 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -6.0wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked XLG Gaming | 40c | 966.08$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.16 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Bilibili Gaming | 15c | 965$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 964.93$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Bilibili Gaming | 55c | 954.98$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked XLG Gaming | 6c | 944$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 927.58$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.29 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 922.32$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.75 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…4f80backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 912.77$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed XLG Gaming | 40c | 887.58$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…11fbbacked XLG Gaming | 59c | 876.11$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 868.52$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.79 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 825.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.03 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 800$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.87 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked XLG Gaming | 54c | 780.8$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.63 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba66…0779backed Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 780$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 750$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.96 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 748.05$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.46 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed XLG Gaming | 76c | 724.86$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…8f47backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 707.34$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 707.1$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.03 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 700$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…5b3ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 5c | 690$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.58 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 682.18$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.