Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd56359691c2b33b1759a6f47d9ed5467778980bab1b9d930824999263361eafd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 34,102$17,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,087.26 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 21,386$10,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,760.45 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 7,432$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.75 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 4,041$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.31 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 3,984$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.62 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 3,402$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 2,425$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.4 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 2,363$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bilibili Gaming | 28c | 1,942$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.57 | 1,284 | 32.1%412 W · 872 L | -67.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 1,875$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.49 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 1,786$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.56 | 1,748 | 46.2%808 W · 940 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 1,606$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.98 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 1,534$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 1,420$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 1,619 | 45.1%730 W · 889 L | -25.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 1,375$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.7 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 973.61$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.56 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 973$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…bd7fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 952.48$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 940.01$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.63 | 1,370 | 39%534 W · 836 L | -59.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 897.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 852.99$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 774.4$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.56 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 730.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 708.43$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.08 | 1,614 | 37.5%605 W · 1,009 L | -75.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed XLG Gaming | 59c | 630.01$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…4f80backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 629.2$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 550$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 540.61$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.01 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 522.01$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 518.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 515.54$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.78 | 1,503 | 46.5%699 W · 804 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 505.71$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.86 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 492.36$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.93 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 483$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.84 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked XLG Gaming | 63c | 471.79$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 466.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…f6b5backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 461.87$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 418.67$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked XLG Gaming | 77c | 415.22$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 401.4$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1,261 | 49.6%625 W · 636 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 399.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 409 | 31.8%130 W · 279 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed Bilibili Gaming | 33c | 390$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 350.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 327.8$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 1,318 | 43.9%578 W · 740 L | -44.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed XLG Gaming | 65c | 322.81$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 317$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.74 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 300.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked XLG Gaming | 39c | 297.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.65 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked XLG Gaming | 37c | 284.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.94 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 283.75$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Bilibili Gaming | 23c | 278.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed XLG Gaming | 49c | 261.22$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 365 | 46%168 W · 197 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 259$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.91 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed XLG Gaming | 68c | 257$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…1718backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 249.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…16b1backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 243.31$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…76fabacked Bilibili Gaming | 33c | 234.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f88bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 46c | 218.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 211.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 208.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 943 | 49.5%467 W · 476 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…b685backed XLG Gaming | 49c | 205.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 200.7$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 394 | 66%260 W · 134 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 197.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -29.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 195.67$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 185 | 61.1%113 W · 72 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 190$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 173.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked XLG Gaming | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 32c | 161.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 153.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 152.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Bilibili Gaming | 10c | 148$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked XLG Gaming | 62c | 145.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked XLG Gaming | 54c | 143.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 581 | 50.8%295 W · 286 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 139.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 136.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 918 | 33%303 W · 615 L | -91.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8dbebacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 133.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 129.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…f703backed XLG Gaming | 78c | 128.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a6…f3a6backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 128.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed XLG Gaming | 77c | 128$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 124.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 118.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 658 | 47.3%311 W · 347 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 118.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 117.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked XLG Gaming | 68c | 115$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed XLG Gaming | 68c | 114.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 109.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 902 | 44.3%400 W · 502 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 105.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked XLG Gaming | 53c | 101.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 790 | 44.3%350 W · 440 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…3e2abacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.