TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc508…f6b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT5556.4%31 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,728.59
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelabacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,683.65
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.84
Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Maria Timofeevabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$545.2
Wimbledon WTA: Anna Blinkova vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$397.03
Wimbledon WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Daria Snigurbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.37
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.84
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Liam Broady vs August Holmgrenbacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.32
Figueira Da Foz: Alina Korneeva vs Martyna Kubkabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.5
Parma: Jesper de Jong vs Laslo Djerebacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.39
Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.67
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.4
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$104.37
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshawbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.44
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamensbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$339.51
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.32
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$290.84
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Yosuke Watanukibacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$162.1
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$52.95
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,181.51
Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$258.25
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$981.51
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$908.22
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynetsbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$341.33
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$903.24
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$339.25
Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,964.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,047Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,364.73
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$288.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$445.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$103.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.