Other European Leagues · resolved market
Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8e7662c7b0e2b279b36ab97705fb94f0e66ad6b232cf2167205347dce992435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 51c | 7,345$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.46 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 6,287$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 29c | 2,675$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.8 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 11c | 1,856$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.91 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 1,079$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.44 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 58c | 963$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.76 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 11c | 834.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.39 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Under | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2f…ef88backed Over | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 28cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 11c | 269.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.35 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…896cbacked Under | 11c | 229.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41e…1c25backed Under | 68c | 147.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Under | 9c | 139.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 10c | 121.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 17c | 108.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 75c | 102.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 76c | 84.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 37c | 84.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 61c | 82.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 62c | 80.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 14c | 78.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Under | 57c | 75.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 38c | 36.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…f6b5backed Under | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 65c | 31.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 5.5this page
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: BK Hacken 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: BK Hacken O/U 1.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: BK Hacken O/U 2.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 0.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 1.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 2.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: Orgryte IS O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)BK Hacken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.