Other European Leagues · resolved market
Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dcc521dc481e31a443472fd37e66ed9a30e6dee2dba73b15c517f6619db6729
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 5,874$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 52c | 5,803$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.03 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 52c | 5,449$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.19 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 2,837$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.51 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 59c | 1,953$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.42 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 47c | 1,201$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.53 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 43c | 641.6$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.77 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 47c | 475.26$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.01 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 28c | 265.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 73c | 196.06$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 35c | 143.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 73c | 112.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 97.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 27c | 73.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 49c | 70.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 48c | 68.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 61c | 66.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 62c | 64.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 55c | 63.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 25c | 59.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 73c | 46.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Over | 34c | 38.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…93f6backed Under | 47c | 32.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 73c | 22.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 74c | 17.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…7d35backed Under | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 4.5this page
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: BK Hacken 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: BK Hacken O/U 1.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: BK Hacken O/U 2.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 0.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 1.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 2.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: Orgryte IS O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)BK Hacken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.