Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb60d898dc4f8de5ff05ffd8ebdaad0191f644083ae2c0cf5f1963e9de66fee18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orgryte ISof BK Hacken, Orgryte IS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orgryte IS | 59c | 1,110$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BK Hacken | 43c | 1,094$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.15 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Orgryte IS | 56c | 492.75$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.81 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Orgryte IS | 58c | 313.48$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed BK Hacken | 43c | 192.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Orgryte IS | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed BK Hacken | 43c | 152.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked BK Hacken | 44c | 152.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…79cabacked BK Hacken | 33c | 148$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed BK Hacken | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Orgryte IS | 59c | 98.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked BK Hacken | 41c | 95.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…b7e3backed BK Hacken | 41c | 90.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BK Hacken | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked BK Hacken | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Orgryte IS | 59c | 56.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…abb3backed Orgryte IS | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed BK Hacken | 44c | 49.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Orgryte IS | 56c | 45.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed BK Hacken | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cc…ad18backed BK Hacken | 41c | 37.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Orgryte IS | 59c | 36.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Orgryte IS | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Orgryte IS | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Orgryte IS | 59c | 29.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Orgryte IS | 46c | 26.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…93f6backed Orgryte IS | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed BK Hacken | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Orgryte IS | 59c | 17.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)this page
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: BK Hacken 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: BK Hacken O/U 1.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: BK Hacken O/U 2.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 0.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 1.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 2.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: Orgryte IS O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)BK Hacken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.