CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x055724cb2e8132bf812d7ddfedad61b1bd617eca52372f6c7e53e9c284474c23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Phantom | 47c | 3,186$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.21 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Walczaki | 58c | 2,058$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.03 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Walczaki | 43c | 2,000$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.13 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 47c | 1,657$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.13 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Walczaki | 53c | 1,440$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.2 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Phantom | 63c | 1,247$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.19 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Walczaki | 52c | 1,087$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.85 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Phantom | 47c | 983.3$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.04 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 44c | 741$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.82 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Walczaki | 39c | 552.05$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.13 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Walczaki | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…f6b5backed Walczaki | 70c | 455.47$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Phantom | 50c | 391.45$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Phantom | 48c | 369$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Phantom | 66c | 365.26$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.69 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Walczaki | 54c | 354.14$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.36 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 54c | 302.17$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Walczaki | 53c | 262.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Walczaki | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom | 55c | 218.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Phantom | 47c | 211.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Walczaki | 38c | 203.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom | 78c | 198.65$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Walczaki | 26c | 197.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Phantom | 48c | 181.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 380 | 49.5%188 W · 192 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Walczaki | 53c | 174.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Phantom | 58c | 169.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 317 | 41.3%131 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Walczaki | 55c | 146.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Walczaki | 77c | 129$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 57c | 112.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Phantom | 48c | 109$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Walczaki | 72c | 109$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki | 32c | 100.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Phantom | 48c | 91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Walczaki | 38c | 84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Phantom | 48c | 80.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Walczaki | 58c | 76.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Phantom | 51c | 71.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Walczaki | 16c | 64.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Walczaki | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Phantom | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Walczaki | 34c | 46.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Phantom | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Walczaki | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Walczaki | 31c | 35.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Walczaki | 44c | 29.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Phantom | 70c | 23.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.