TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Phantomof Phantom, Walczaki
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Phantom41c5,455$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,227.3992456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Walczaki40c4,250$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70043951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Phantom54c2,140$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.182,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Walczaki44c1,999$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.1443640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Phantom55c1,222$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.534,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Walczaki40c968.14$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39029449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Phantom62c934.48$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.993,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Walczaki49c809.08$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki26c776.36$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.443,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Phantom77c754.18$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.439772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Phantom66c666.24$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.012,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Walczaki53c615.23$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.781,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Walczaki16c568.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6663157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki34c552.74$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.632,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Walczaki35c546$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3228434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Walczaki44c500$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.442,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed Phantom38c499.98$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9910441.3%43 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Phantom62c493.94$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.730155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Walczaki52c465.53$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0739038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Phantom54c448.37$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3445465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Phantom37c416.45$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3684958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Walczaki62c404$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.4810249%50 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Walczaki45c387.88$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.575833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Phantom70c374.17$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.191743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Walczaki62c350$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21778963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki37c347.44$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.226,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked Walczaki62c335$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.736645.6%167 W · 199 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Phantom54c325.38$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9913371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki41c282.91$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.132,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Walczaki15c268.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.541,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed Phantom38c265$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.323146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Phantom39c259.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0839955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki41c254.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.534,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Phantom28c238$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3631647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki45c230.69$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.217,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Walczaki72c227.92$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.115948.4%77 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Walczaki62c227.92$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3114051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Phantom53c222.81$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7227552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Phantom75c216.05$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.555,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Walczaki62c203.12$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2519340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Walczaki62c193.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12054543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Walczaki39c193.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4140542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Walczaki22c189.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8110438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Phantom63c173$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6864046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom68c170$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.253,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Phantom60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Walczaki56c163.35$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.061,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki43c160$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.513,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Phantom76c159.23$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5368659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Phantom55c152.15$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.51,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Walczaki62c149.3$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0246447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Phantom56c144.63$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.878267.1%55 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom36c143.07$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.525,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Phantom38c135$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.71,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Walczaki61c134.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3275652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Phantom67c127.2$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.512,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Walczaki46c123.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.272,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Walczaki21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Walczaki63c118.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.842,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Phantom60c116$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.42,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Walczaki33c113$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8532139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Walczaki54c111.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5866436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Phantom39c105.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e85…01fcbacked Walczaki62c103.23$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Walczaki45c102.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.982,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Walczaki62c101.21$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.136749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Walczaki62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6217545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Walczaki71c94.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8558745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Walczaki49c91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.745754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d6…041dbacked Walczaki63c89.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.396735.8%24 W · 43 L-13.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-41.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Walczaki48c81.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2989046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Phantom54c80.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1515246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed Walczaki63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023654.7%129 W · 107 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Walczaki63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049766.8%332 W · 165 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Walczaki67c69.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5651252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a83…0be8backed Walczaki46c68.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5310437.5%39 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65f7…86ddbacked Walczaki69c66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.543735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Phantom70c60.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.251,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Phantom32c58.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4077351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed Walczaki68c58.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021454.2%116 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Phantom30c58.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8321952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Phantom22c55.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.611,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Phantom38c55.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.215751%80 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Walczaki38c53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3260032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Phantom63c49.83$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.232,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Walczaki61c49.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.291,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed Phantom29c48.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1518747.1%88 W · 99 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd37…9d71backed Walczaki62c45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.97347.9%35 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Walczaki60c39.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.819954.8%109 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d70…ae13backed Walczaki70c39.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.694045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbba…ac2dbacked Phantom64c38.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.94955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick73cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Phantom55c36.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1567547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Phantom54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.125643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed Phantom71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0852369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom61c32.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.724,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Walczaki62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023963.2%151 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Walczaki49c30.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9140857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed Walczaki62c30.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.769565.3%62 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Walczaki42c27.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.372,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Phantom38c27.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7685054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.