CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72fd924546684d3036918a3e20c232d55fb4254595a4b8292988645d82591252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Phantom | 48c | 5,150$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.38 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Walczaki | 42c | 3,478$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.86 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Walczaki | 46c | 2,510$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.64 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki | 30c | 2,091$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.75 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Walczaki | 42c | 857.02$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.45 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Walczaki | 2c | 734.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Walczaki | 50c | 620.75$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.95 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Walczaki | 12c | 594.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 51c | 548.76$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki | 40c | 339$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Phantom | 41c | 252.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.9 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki | 36c | 242.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Phantom | 65c | 237.49$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Walczaki | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Walczaki | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Walczaki | 52c | 190$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 67c | 177.07$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Walczaki | 51c | 171.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Walczaki | 24c | 145.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Walczaki | 31c | 143$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Walczaki | 31c | 119.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki | 29c | 119$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki | 34c | 102.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Walczaki | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 52c | 96.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Walczaki | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Walczaki | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Walczaki | 35c | 79.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Walczaki | 53c | 76.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 16c | 76.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Walczaki | 53c | 75.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 66c | 74.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Phantom | 52c | 73.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…67f7backed Phantom | 68c | 72.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Walczaki | 22c | 64.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki | 24c | 53.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Phantom | 54c | 48.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Phantom | 64c | 40.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 141 | 69.5%98 W · 43 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Walczaki | 43c | 33.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Phantom | 49c | 23.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 296 | 61.1%181 W · 115 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Phantom | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Phantom | 78c | 19.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 186 | 80.6%150 W · 36 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Phantom | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Phantom | 59c | 17.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Phantom | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.