Other European Leagues · resolved market
BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86585fd75443ea7cfc8f5083842aed3ffa35df51d36d1bef81fac12014ee395d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under | 13c | 2,700$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…f6b5backed Under | 80c | 2,456$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…1939backed Under | 13c | 2,426$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed Under | 12c | 1,800$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…896cbacked Under | 11c | 899.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 10c | 578.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.05 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 462.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Under | 3c | 413.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Under | 3c | 388.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 16c | 380$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 309.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.49 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 13c | 261.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 20c | 175$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 20c | 175$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 29c | 146.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 74c | 136.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Under | 13c | 125.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 26c | 122.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 15c | 118.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 69c | 107.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 36c | 64.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 55.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 22c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…7d58backed Over | 33c | 45.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 30.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 24.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5this page
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: BK Hacken O/U 1.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.