Other European Leagues · resolved market
BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c9ba7225f335cb4c6755865ae101dced0b2eed64a47e360ced869369341f3c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,591$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.55 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 64c | 1,024$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.72 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 68c | 652.92$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.92 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 515.73$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 38c | 499.91$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.28 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 33c | 320.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 62c | 280.14$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 65c | 162$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked Over | 67c | 152.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Under | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 32c | 108$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da4…d5c2backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 64c | 74.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 74.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 34c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 35c | 63.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 37c | 61.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d8…f664backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 68c | 25.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…6c9bbacked Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 64c | 20.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 75c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8145…1bd2backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5this page
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: BK Hacken O/U 1.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 4.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.