TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,390 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c2,479$1,526 inLost-$1,525.57,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over41c1,126$461 inWon+$664.0716953.8%91 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over40c620$248 inWon+$3726342.9%27 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over40c599.99$240 inWon+$359.999138.5%35 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c458.22$169 inWon+$289.485,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over26c384.62$100 inWon+$284.621877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under73c271.42$198 inLost-$197.842934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over41c171.31$70 inWon+$101.0710436.5%38 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb8…be69backed Over65c169.23$110 inWon+$59.231369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c144.08$64 inLost-$64.0387745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e09…2d11backed Over56c121$68 inWon+$53.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dfe…4feebacked Over26c107.69$28 inWon+$79.691070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over24c104.17$25 inWon+$79.173836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under61c90$54 inLost-$54.457537.3%28 W · 47 L-9.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under76c79.11$60 inLost-$60.141,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under41c77.24$32 inLost-$31.671850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over24c62.5$15 inWon+$47.532051.9%166 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x961c…9d72backed Under40c56$22 inLost-$22.41376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over59c40$24 inWon+$16.41625%4 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over42c25$11 inWon+$14.52466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.8wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+43.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under76c21$16 inLost-$15.9653655.2%296 W · 240 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under61c18.89$11 inLost-$11.462,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under75c17.11$13 inLost-$12.793759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.