TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof Paper Rex, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,389

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc69b…2076backed T14c3,422$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.954932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed T153c1,000$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.522449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed T135c847.79$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7f…ab9ebacked Paper Rex53c703.5$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.612556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Paper Rex55c658.14$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.591,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d20…5c21backed T173c565.5$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Paper Rex58c528.5$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0188844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked T155c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.996250%31 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Paper Rex56c482$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.214750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e97…b97fbacked Paper Rex54c437.05$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed T119c423.79$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6835331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed T149c385.64$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.471,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Paper Rex66c323.23$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.389439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked T164c313.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006050%30 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed T146c302$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7922455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x987d…1143backed Paper Rex77c258.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed T147c257.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2653442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked T143c253$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2620138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0197…1718backed T128c249.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.992055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex59c249.02$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.421,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked T148c239.6$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2730652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Paper Rex56c232.59$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9918049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x628f…b212backed T149c231.95$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.52065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed T146c216.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Paper Rex51c199$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3550944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Paper Rex63c190$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.710628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Paper Rex55c185.34$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.42744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Paper Rex53c167.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9236145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed T18c154.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9216033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fca…6ac3backed Paper Rex53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Paper Rex54c146.19$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2584838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked T150c134.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.478848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed T130c130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3966438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Paper Rex56c127$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.311,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Paper Rex51c125.01$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3952050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed T137c125$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1214737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Paper Rex52c123.39$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5655348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed T145c122.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6463955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1aa…d5cdbacked T155c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.11553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe844…3d42backed T142c118.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc508…f6b5backed Paper Rex70c114.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.415100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Paper Rex67c113.21$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4857151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed T146c113.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5211738.5%45 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Paper Rex52c110.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5351749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed T145c110.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011042.7%47 W · 63 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f9b…df54backed T147c106.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506041.7%25 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed T151c102.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7774642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Paper Rex59c100.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3821153.6%113 W · 98 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Paper Rex54c100.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.796245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Paper Rex55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4566650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Paper Rex52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.527850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed T161c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Paper Rex49c94$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0137545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Paper Rex44c93.11$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1442051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed T136c86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9699846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d8…89c2backed Paper Rex59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed Paper Rex60c83.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.473740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Paper Rex63c77.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0311445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab1…638bbacked Paper Rex73c77.57$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Paper Rex55c73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1133947.8%162 W · 177 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x528a…12f1backed Paper Rex38c72.6$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.87143.7%31 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…52f7backed Paper Rex63c71.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d94…eb52backed T147c69.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.694562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed T148c69.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4943059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed T157c67.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.739166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed T138c66.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Paper Rex57c62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.661,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed T147c61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6146347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed Paper Rex40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3618254.4%99 W · 83 L+22.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Paper Rex37c58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5455637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed T138c55.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.323046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Paper Rex57c55.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.112951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed T155c54.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Paper Rex53c53.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1656357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Paper Rex62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1915160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Paper Rex53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.538548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec24…d744backed Paper Rex58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.965841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Paper Rex58c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Paper Rex51c48.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5751948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Paper Rex55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4526447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Paper Rex69c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6481134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked T145c42.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked T137c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Paper Rex54c39.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.312550.4%63 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4385…5560backed T164c38.39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.49933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked T146c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3470043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked T144c37.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5455152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3596…d91cbacked Paper Rex54c37.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.177768.8%53 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61ed…0f5dbacked T155c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-71.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbc40…4c26backed T155c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa8…a338backed T155c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa34c…9c7abacked T159c33.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Paper Rex55c33.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0690733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Paper Rex63c31.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5415255.9%85 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…d6d0backed Paper Rex66c30.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.13056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed T140c28.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5621641.7%90 W · 126 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Paper Rex56c28.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4265347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paper Rex54c25.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8544342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Paper Rex56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.85056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Paper Rex66c19.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.724751.8%128 W · 119 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.