Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe8499a780d4192dcf661112ebc1aabd05d5ded15ce5244130956dd18d222a2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of Paper Rex, T1
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed T1 | 68c | 5,000$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.54 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Paper Rex | 31c | 1,587$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.26 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Paper Rex | 35c | 1,201$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.35 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed T1 | 70c | 1,118$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.66 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Paper Rex | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Paper Rex | 33c | 848.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.84 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked Paper Rex | 30c | 791.77$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Paper Rex | 34c | 772.52$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed T1 | 70c | 677.77$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Paper Rex | 30c | 582.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed T1 | 68c | 548.96$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Paper Rex | 30c | 516.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Paper Rex | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…3543backed Paper Rex | 30c | 397.07$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked T1 | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Paper Rex | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Paper Rex | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed T1 | 67c | 168.43$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…2d2dbacked Paper Rex | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f2…27d4backed T1 | 66c | 147.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked T1 | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…efa7backed Paper Rex | 30c | 107$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed T1 | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Paper Rex | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Paper Rex | 30c | 99.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Paper Rex | 30c | 98.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Paper Rex | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…158abacked Paper Rex | 31c | 79.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked T1 | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Paper Rex | 32c | 55.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed T1 | 69c | 49.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Paper Rex | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked T1 | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed T1 | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked T1 | 62c | 30.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked T1 | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked T1 | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked T1 | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked T1 | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaT1 won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 1 WinnerT1 won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.