Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa403ec73281a39bdcde64684531ea05cfbefa5eac2ef00e453a14408dd334061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of Paper Rex, T1
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82dc…5700backed T1 | 41c | 2,000$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.08 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Paper Rex | 64c | 1,586$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.35 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Paper Rex | 62c | 1,305$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.08 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Paper Rex | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed T1 | 37c | 1,164$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.09 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Paper Rex | 64c | 1,061$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.24 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed T1 | 15c | 1,019$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.07 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…5cb1backed Paper Rex | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed T1 | 38c | 789.69$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.42 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed T1 | 37c | 749.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.49 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed T1 | 36c | 672$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Paper Rex | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed T1 | 40c | 511.89$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.5 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed T1 | 40c | 458.77$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.26 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed T1 | 73c | 429$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Paper Rex | 58c | 312.34$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Paper Rex | 65c | 291$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked T1 | 58c | 280.05$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed T1 | 53c | 265.2$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed T1 | 40c | 258.39$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked Paper Rex | 72c | 253.93$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.68 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed T1 | 35c | 222.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed T1 | 42c | 215.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex | 65c | 211$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked T1 | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed T1 | 45c | 191.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed T1 | 31c | 163.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked T1 | 16c | 154.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Paper Rex | 68c | 131.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed Paper Rex | 38c | 130.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Paper Rex | 61c | 129$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed T1 | 61c | 119$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Paper Rex | 75c | 118.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked T1 | 36c | 117$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Paper Rex | 46c | 107.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Paper Rex | 48c | 102.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe844…3d42backed Paper Rex | 61c | 100.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Paper Rex | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed T1 | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked T1 | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Paper Rex | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed T1 | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Paper Rex | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed T1 | 38c | 95.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Paper Rex | 53c | 94.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Paper Rex | 66c | 94.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Paper Rex | 78c | 86.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Paper Rex | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed T1 | 37c | 83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Paper Rex | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Paper Rex | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…e7f5backed Paper Rex | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Paper Rex | 59c | 60.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…ebfbbacked T1 | 22c | 58.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed T1 | 20c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…af40backed Paper Rex | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked T1 | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Paper Rex | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Paper Rex | 51c | 49.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Paper Rex | 60c | 49.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed Paper Rex | 60c | 49.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed Paper Rex | 65c | 45.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked T1 | 26c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed T1 | 37c | 39.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked T1 | 40c | 37.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked T1 | 34c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Paper Rex | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Paper Rex | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…3e2abacked T1 | 45c | 30.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Paper Rex | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…6114backed Paper Rex | 57c | 25.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Paper Rex | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Paper Rex | 68c | 20.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Paper Rex | 58c | 19.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Paper Rex | 63c | 17.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)T1 won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaT1 won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.