Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Cook Islands
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f4290573a92307a6856fe53ea695b59edc74052f464f005fb74da9e343aba51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cook Islandsof Japan, Cook Islands
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Cook Islands | 48c | 2,403$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Japan | 60c | 2,137$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.43 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Japan | 51c | 2,044$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.04 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…27f3backed Cook Islands | 51c | 1,618$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Japan | 45c | 1,125$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.46 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Cook Islands | 46c | 1,064$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Japan | 57c | 934.37$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.51 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Japan | 14c | 804.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…f6b5backed Cook Islands | 67c | 800.97$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Japan | 67c | 795$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.44 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Cook Islands | 76c | 784.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Japan | 37c | 689.63$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.35 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Japan | 80c | 502.79$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Japan | 15c | 491.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Japan | 23c | 469.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Japan | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Japan | 19c | 447.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Japan | 60c | 403$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Cook Islands | 63c | 390.27$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…192cbacked Japan | 62c | 267$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.01 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Japan | 76c | 261.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Cook Islands | 80c | 250.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…43d5backed Cook Islands | 39c | 237.41$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.49 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Japan | 44c | 227.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cook Islands | 28c | 224.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.89 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Cook Islands | 55c | 219.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked Cook Islands | 74c | 212.74$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…32cdbacked Cook Islands | 51c | 212.6$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Cook Islands | 57c | 190.9$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be2…d345backed Cook Islands | 76c | 171.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…d703backed Cook Islands | 74c | 162.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…486ebacked Japan | 77c | 159.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Japan | 59c | 146.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Japan | 33c | 144.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Japan | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Japan | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Cook Islands | 40c | 133.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Japan | 47c | 104.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Japan | 27c | 103.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Japan | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…64cdbacked Japan | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +10.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Cook Islands | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591c…619fbacked Japan | 70c | 97.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…e5e2backed Japan | 40c | 86.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Cook Islands | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Cook Islands | 73c | 73.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Japan | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Cook Islands | 51c | 65.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539c…74a4backed Cook Islands | 73c | 58.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a6…72aabacked Cook Islands | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Japan | 55c | 57.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…6354backed Cook Islands | 46c | 57.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…4b21backed Japan | 29c | 50.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Japan | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Japan | 67c | 44.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Japan | 61c | 43.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Cook Islands | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Japan | 58c | 34.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Cook Islands | 61c | 32.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…e547backed Cook Islands | 63c | 31.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Cook Islands | 48c | 31.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Cook Islands | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Japan | 60c | 28.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed Japan | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Japan | 64c | 25.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Cook Islandsthis page
- T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Cook Islands - Who wins the toss?Japan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.