TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f77…32cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+458.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+161.3%+$20.8
Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$58.76
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96%+$28.81
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.33
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.66
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.75
Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+166%+$159.41
Bordeaux: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$84.82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Bengaluru 2: Kriish Tyagi vs Hamish Stewartbacked Kriish Tyagi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
Tunis: Federico Cina vs Inaki Montesbacked Inaki Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$237.77
Zagreb: Marco Cecchinato vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
ITF Nakhon Pathom: Kasidit Samrej vs Kunanan Pantaratornbacked Kasidit Samrej · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+9,900%+$4,950
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.94
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Oeiras 4: Benjamin Hassan vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Darderi vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bengaluru 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.65
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.82
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.77
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.51
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$189.27
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.69
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.67
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$57.72
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$51.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C or higher on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.